Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and regional models show Amsterdam’s September 14 maximum temperature centered on 21–23 °C under high pressure near 1023 hPa and light southwesterly flow. Southerly advection of mild maritime air, combined with limited cloud cover and minimal precipitation risk, supports daytime highs around 22 °C in most runs, with some guidance reaching 24 °C if insolation is stronger. These conditions explain the market’s heavy weighting toward 22 °C (40 %) and 23 °C (27.5 %), while the 16.5 % on 21 °C reflects residual model spread in cloud timing. With resolution only 48 hours away, updated model runs and observational data on wind and radiation will be the key near-term drivers of any probability shifts.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Amsterdam on September 14?
22°C 43%
23°C 29%
21°C 18%
24°C 9%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
2%
18°C
<1%
19°C
2%
20°C
9%
21°C
18%
22°C
43%
23°C
29%
24°C
9%
25°C
9%
26°C or higher
7%
22°C 43%
23°C 29%
21°C 18%
24°C 9%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
2%
18°C
<1%
19°C
2%
20°C
9%
21°C
18%
22°C
43%
23°C
29%
24°C
9%
25°C
9%
26°C or higher
7%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 12, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and regional models show Amsterdam’s September 14 maximum temperature centered on 21–23 °C under high pressure near 1023 hPa and light southwesterly flow. Southerly advection of mild maritime air, combined with limited cloud cover and minimal precipitation risk, supports daytime highs around 22 °C in most runs, with some guidance reaching 24 °C if insolation is stronger. These conditions explain the market’s heavy weighting toward 22 °C (40 %) and 23 °C (27.5 %), while the 16.5 % on 21 °C reflects residual model spread in cloud timing. With resolution only 48 hours away, updated model runs and observational data on wind and radiation will be the key near-term drivers of any probability shifts.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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