Recent weather models and official forecasts for Wellington indicate a daytime high of 12–13°C on September 12 under partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds, and low precipitation chances, aligning closely with the September climatological average maximum near 12.5°C. Market-implied odds favoring 14°C at 65.5% suggest traders anticipate modest upward revisions from model runs or localized warmer readings at the official measurement site amid typical spring variability. Lower outcomes below 13°C hold smaller probabilities consistent with stable high-pressure influence and limited warming potential, while 15°C or higher remains a low-probability tail risk. Updated forecast guidance tomorrow morning will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Wellington on September 12?
14°C 55%
13°C 42%
15°C 5%
12°C 3%
$15,668 Vol.
$15,668 Vol.
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
3%
13°C
42%
14°C
55%
15°C
5%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
14°C 55%
13°C 42%
15°C 5%
12°C 3%
$15,668 Vol.
$15,668 Vol.
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
3%
13°C
42%
14°C
55%
15°C
5%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 10, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Recent weather models and official forecasts for Wellington indicate a daytime high of 12–13°C on September 12 under partly cloudy skies, light southwesterly winds, and low precipitation chances, aligning closely with the September climatological average maximum near 12.5°C. Market-implied odds favoring 14°C at 65.5% suggest traders anticipate modest upward revisions from model runs or localized warmer readings at the official measurement site amid typical spring variability. Lower outcomes below 13°C hold smaller probabilities consistent with stable high-pressure influence and limited warming potential, while 15°C or higher remains a low-probability tail risk. Updated forecast guidance tomorrow morning will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা