Recent forecasts from multiple models and local meteorological sources indicate a high of 31–32°C in Shenzhen on September 11 under mostly cloudy skies with isolated showers possible, keeping implied probabilities closely split between those two outcomes at 44.5% and 36%. Persistent subtropical moisture and cloud cover limit surface heating compared to clearer September days, while light easterly flow prevents significant advection of warmer air. This setup aligns with climatological norms for early September, when daily maxima average near 31°C amid frequent convective activity. Minor model differences in timing of any showers or afternoon clearing create the narrow spread favoring 32°C slightly over 31°C, with lower odds on 33°C reflecting limited upside potential under current conditions. Updated guidance later today could refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Shenzhen on September 11?
32°C 45%
31°C 36%
33°C 11%
30°C 8%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
4%
30°C
8%
31°C
36%
32°C
45%
33°C
11%
34°C
3%
35°C
2%
36°C or higher
<1%
32°C 45%
31°C 36%
33°C 11%
30°C 8%
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
4%
30°C
8%
31°C
36%
32°C
45%
33°C
11%
34°C
3%
35°C
2%
36°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models and local meteorological sources indicate a high of 31–32°C in Shenzhen on September 11 under mostly cloudy skies with isolated showers possible, keeping implied probabilities closely split between those two outcomes at 44.5% and 36%. Persistent subtropical moisture and cloud cover limit surface heating compared to clearer September days, while light easterly flow prevents significant advection of warmer air. This setup aligns with climatological norms for early September, when daily maxima average near 31°C amid frequent convective activity. Minor model differences in timing of any showers or afternoon clearing create the narrow spread favoring 32°C slightly over 31°C, with lower odds on 33°C reflecting limited upside potential under current conditions. Updated guidance later today could refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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