Recent forecasts point to a maximum near 13–14°C in Buenos Aires on August 8 under moderating southwesterly flow and variable cloudiness after earlier cool advection. In Southern Hemisphere winter, weak solar insolation limits daytime heating while synoptic patterns control boundary-layer mixing and any residual cold-air influence from prior fronts. Traders assign the highest probabilities to these values because ensemble guidance shows only modest spread around climatological averages of 15–17°C, with small differences in cloud timing or wind strength able to shift the daily peak by 1°C. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations and model updates through the next 24 hours remain the key resolution drivers.