Recent short-range forecasts for Chengdu place the August 12 maximum in the mid- to upper-30s Celsius under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds typical of the Sichuan Basin in late summer. These conditions favor afternoon heating to 36–38 °C, consistent with the market’s heavy concentration on 37 °C (41.5 %) and the adjacent 36 °C and 38 °C bins. Climatological baselines for mid-August show average highs near 31–32 °C, yet recent model runs and analogous clear-sky episodes have lifted expectations several degrees above that norm. Light precipitation chances and stable high-pressure influence further support the current implied-probability distribution centered on 37 °C. Updated guidance overnight or on August 11 will refine the exact peak.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Chengdu on August 12?
37°C 42%
38°C 25%
36°C 21%
35°C 5%
32°C or below
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
3%
35°C
5%
36°C
21%
37°C
42%
38°C
25%
39°C
4%
40°C
3%
41°C
1%
42°C or higher
<1%
37°C 42%
38°C 25%
36°C 21%
35°C 5%
32°C or below
<1%
33°C
1%
34°C
3%
35°C
5%
36°C
21%
37°C
42%
38°C
25%
39°C
4%
40°C
3%
41°C
1%
42°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts for Chengdu place the August 12 maximum in the mid- to upper-30s Celsius under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies and light winds typical of the Sichuan Basin in late summer. These conditions favor afternoon heating to 36–38 °C, consistent with the market’s heavy concentration on 37 °C (41.5 %) and the adjacent 36 °C and 38 °C bins. Climatological baselines for mid-August show average highs near 31–32 °C, yet recent model runs and analogous clear-sky episodes have lifted expectations several degrees above that norm. Light precipitation chances and stable high-pressure influence further support the current implied-probability distribution centered on 37 °C. Updated guidance overnight or on August 11 will refine the exact peak.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড


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