**Persistent cool, rainy conditions from a recent cold air intrusion are anchoring trader expectations for a maximum temperature of 21–23°C in Chengdu on September 10, 2026.** Heavy rainfall and thick cloud cover associated with the frontal system have suppressed daytime heating, with official and model guidance consistently pointing to a daily high near 22°C amid widespread precipitation and northeasterly flow. This marks a sharp drop of roughly 10–12°C from highs near 34°C just days earlier. Multiple forecasts, including those aligned with China Meteorological Administration data, show daytime readings struggling to exceed the low 20s Celsius under overcast skies and ongoing showers, with limited insolation further capping temperatures. Historical September averages for the region are notably higher, but the current synoptic setup favors the lower end of the distribution. With the day underway and no significant warming trends emerging in updated guidance, market-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 21–23°C, reflecting the strong consensus in observational trends and short-range model runs.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Chengdu on September 10?
22°C 48%
23°C 27%
21°C 13%
20°C 7%
$14,719 Vol.
$14,719 Vol.
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
7%
21°C
13%
22°C
48%
23°C
27%
24°C
3%
25°C
2%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
22°C 48%
23°C 27%
21°C 13%
20°C 7%
$14,719 Vol.
$14,719 Vol.
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
7%
21°C
13%
22°C
48%
23°C
27%
24°C
3%
25°C
2%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 8, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent cool, rainy conditions from a recent cold air intrusion are anchoring trader expectations for a maximum temperature of 21–23°C in Chengdu on September 10, 2026.** Heavy rainfall and thick cloud cover associated with the frontal system have suppressed daytime heating, with official and model guidance consistently pointing to a daily high near 22°C amid widespread precipitation and northeasterly flow. This marks a sharp drop of roughly 10–12°C from highs near 34°C just days earlier. Multiple forecasts, including those aligned with China Meteorological Administration data, show daytime readings struggling to exceed the low 20s Celsius under overcast skies and ongoing showers, with limited insolation further capping temperatures. Historical September averages for the region are notably higher, but the current synoptic setup favors the lower end of the distribution. With the day underway and no significant warming trends emerging in updated guidance, market-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 21–23°C, reflecting the strong consensus in observational trends and short-range model runs.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা