Recent forecast models from sources including Trip.com and timeanddate.com project daytime highs of 35–37°C in Guangzhou on August 13, with thunderstorms likely to limit peak heating through cloud cover and precipitation. This aligns with the market’s leading 36°C outcome at 43.5% implied probability, as subtropical summer conditions—high humidity, weak steering winds, and residual moisture from Typhoon Dolphin—favor modest moderation rather than extreme heat. Historical August averages near 33–34°C provide context, while model consensus on scattered convection supports the tight clustering around 35–37°C. Traders appear to weigh the narrow window for verification against typical diurnal variability and potential forecast revisions before resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Guangzhou on August 13?
36°C 44%
37°C 25%
35°C 20%
34°C 8%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
2%
34°C
8%
35°C
20%
36°C
44%
37°C
25%
38°C
4%
39°C or higher
2%
36°C 44%
37°C 25%
35°C 20%
34°C 8%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
2%
34°C
8%
35°C
20%
36°C
44%
37°C
25%
38°C
4%
39°C or higher
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 11, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast models from sources including Trip.com and timeanddate.com project daytime highs of 35–37°C in Guangzhou on August 13, with thunderstorms likely to limit peak heating through cloud cover and precipitation. This aligns with the market’s leading 36°C outcome at 43.5% implied probability, as subtropical summer conditions—high humidity, weak steering winds, and residual moisture from Typhoon Dolphin—favor modest moderation rather than extreme heat. Historical August averages near 33–34°C provide context, while model consensus on scattered convection supports the tight clustering around 35–37°C. Traders appear to weigh the narrow window for verification against typical diurnal variability and potential forecast revisions before resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড

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