Recent numerical weather prediction models from MetService, Met Office, and international ensembles indicate a daytime maximum of 14–15°C in Wellington on August 12, supported by northeasterly flow, partly cloudy skies, and limited southerly influence. This positions 14°C as the market leader at 54.5% implied probability, with 15°C at 29.5%, consistent with the city’s August climatological average high near 12–13°C and current stable high-pressure patterns. Ensemble spread remains modest, though minor variations in cloud cover or wind direction could shift readings between 13°C and 15°C. Updated model runs and official observations from the Kelburn station will refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Wellington on August 12?
14°C 55%
15°C 30%
13°C 13%
16°C 3%
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
1%
13°C
13%
14°C
55%
15°C
30%
16°C
3%
17°C
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
14°C 55%
15°C 30%
13°C 13%
16°C 3%
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
1%
13°C
13%
14°C
55%
15°C
30%
16°C
3%
17°C
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models from MetService, Met Office, and international ensembles indicate a daytime maximum of 14–15°C in Wellington on August 12, supported by northeasterly flow, partly cloudy skies, and limited southerly influence. This positions 14°C as the market leader at 54.5% implied probability, with 15°C at 29.5%, consistent with the city’s August climatological average high near 12–13°C and current stable high-pressure patterns. Ensemble spread remains modest, though minor variations in cloud cover or wind direction could shift readings between 13°C and 15°C. Updated model runs and official observations from the Kelburn station will refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড


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