Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models indicate a likely daily maximum near 34°C on August 12, driven by typical late-summer subtropical conditions with high humidity and limited cloud cover. Seasonal outlooks project normal to above-normal temperatures through October amid ongoing climate warming trends, though scattered showers could cap peaks near 33°C by enhancing evaporative cooling. Historical August averages hover around 31°C, with recent years showing more frequent exceedances of 33–35°C; traders weigh these baselines against short-range model consensus on steering patterns and moisture, creating tight probabilities between the 33°C and 34°C outcomes. Updated guidance from official agencies over the next 48 hours will refine resolution odds.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 12?
34°C 34%
33°C 29%
32°C 23%
35°C 16%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
23%
33°C
29%
34°C
34%
35°C
16%
36°C
4%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
1%
34°C 34%
33°C 29%
32°C 23%
35°C 16%
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
23%
33°C
29%
34°C
34%
35°C
16%
36°C
4%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models indicate a likely daily maximum near 34°C on August 12, driven by typical late-summer subtropical conditions with high humidity and limited cloud cover. Seasonal outlooks project normal to above-normal temperatures through October amid ongoing climate warming trends, though scattered showers could cap peaks near 33°C by enhancing evaporative cooling. Historical August averages hover around 31°C, with recent years showing more frequent exceedances of 33–35°C; traders weigh these baselines against short-range model consensus on steering patterns and moisture, creating tight probabilities between the 33°C and 34°C outcomes. Updated guidance from official agencies over the next 48 hours will refine resolution odds.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড


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