Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate showers and increased cloud cover on August 14 under a southwesterly airstream, tempering maximum temperatures after several days of extreme heat exceeding 34°C. Model consensus points to a daily range of 27–32°C, with convective activity and higher humidity likely capping peaks near 30–31°C rather than allowing full insolation-driven warming. Subtle differences in rain timing and sea-breeze effects create the tight market spread between 30°C and 32°C outcomes. Updated guidance ahead of the overnight period could shift implied probabilities if clearer skies develop.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 14?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 14?
31°C 37%
30°C 31%
32°C 18%
29°C 11%
নতুন
$14,167 Vol.
নতুন
$14,167 Vol.
Aug 14, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
11%
30°C
31%
31°C
37%
32°C
18%
33°C
5%
34°C
2%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 37%
30°C 31%
32°C 18%
29°C 11%
নতুন
$14,167 Vol.
নতুন
$14,167 Vol.
Aug 14, 2026
26°C or below
$300 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$512 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$2,516 Vol.
1%
29°C
$1,972 Vol.
11%
30°C
$2,398 Vol.
31%
31°C
$1,987 Vol.
37%
32°C
$2,579 Vol.
18%
33°C
$435 Vol.
5%
34°C
$721 Vol.
2%
35°C
$458 Vol.
1%
36°C or higher
$289 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate showers and increased cloud cover on August 14 under a southwesterly airstream, tempering maximum temperatures after several days of extreme heat exceeding 34°C. Model consensus points to a daily range of 27–32°C, with convective activity and higher humidity likely capping peaks near 30–31°C rather than allowing full insolation-driven warming. Subtle differences in rain timing and sea-breeze effects create the tight market spread between 30°C and 32°C outcomes. Updated guidance ahead of the overnight period could shift implied probabilities if clearer skies develop.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
ভলিউম
$14,167শেষ তারিখ
Aug 14, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate showers and increased cloud cover on August 14 under a southwesterly airstream, tempering maximum temperatures after several days of extreme heat exceeding 34°C. Model consensus points to a daily range of 27–32°C, with convective activity and higher humidity likely capping peaks near 30–31°C rather than allowing full insolation-driven warming. Subtle differences in rain timing and sea-breeze effects create the tight market spread between 30°C and 32°C outcomes. Updated guidance ahead of the overnight period could shift implied probabilities if clearer skies develop.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ভলিউম
$14,167শেষ তারিখ
Aug 14, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 12, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate showers and increased cloud cover on August 14 under a southwesterly airstream, tempering maximum temperatures after several days of extreme heat exceeding 34°C. Model consensus points to a daily range of 27–32°C, with convective activity and higher humidity likely capping peaks near 30–31°C rather than allowing full insolation-driven warming. Subtle differences in rain timing and sea-breeze effects create the tight market spread between 30°C and 32°C outcomes. Updated guidance ahead of the overnight period could shift implied probabilities if clearer skies develop.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা