Trader consensus favors a 25°C peak for Mexico City on August 14, with 26°C as a close second, reflecting Servicio Meteorológico Nacional forecasts of 23–25°C amid typical mid-August rainy-season conditions at the city’s 2,240-meter elevation. Afternoon convection and cloud cover are expected to limit insolation and cap daytime warming near climatological norms around 24°C, while minor model differences in storm timing and moisture create the narrow edge between the two leading bins. Recent observations and ensemble guidance show no significant warm or cool anomalies, keeping the distribution tightly centered on these values with low probability assigned to outliers above 27°C or below 23°C. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of the 24-hour window remain the key catalysts for any shifts.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Mexico City on August 14?
25°C 49%
26°C 31%
24°C 15%
27°C 4%
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
3%
24°C
15%
25°C
49%
26°C
31%
27°C
4%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
<1%
25°C 49%
26°C 31%
24°C 15%
27°C 4%
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
3%
24°C
15%
25°C
49%
26°C
31%
27°C
4%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 12, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors a 25°C peak for Mexico City on August 14, with 26°C as a close second, reflecting Servicio Meteorológico Nacional forecasts of 23–25°C amid typical mid-August rainy-season conditions at the city’s 2,240-meter elevation. Afternoon convection and cloud cover are expected to limit insolation and cap daytime warming near climatological norms around 24°C, while minor model differences in storm timing and moisture create the narrow edge between the two leading bins. Recent observations and ensemble guidance show no significant warm or cool anomalies, keeping the distribution tightly centered on these values with low probability assigned to outliers above 27°C or below 23°C. Updated model runs and official briefings ahead of the 24-hour window remain the key catalysts for any shifts.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড


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