Recent model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs points to a cooler-than-average air mass over Moscow on August 13, with highs likely near 15–16 °C amid increased cloud cover and light winds, well below the ~22 °C seasonal norm. This has concentrated trader bets on the narrow 15–17 °C band, where small differences in forecast details—such as the precise arrival of a weak front or variations in daytime insolation—separate the leading outcomes. Official updates from the Russian Hydrometeorological Center and final ensemble guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Moscow on August 13?
16°C 36%
15°C 28%
17°C 19%
14°C 10%
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
4%
14°C
10%
15°C
28%
16°C
36%
17°C
19%
18°C
6%
19°C
3%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
16°C 36%
15°C 28%
17°C 19%
14°C 10%
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
4%
14°C
10%
15°C
28%
16°C
36%
17°C
19%
18°C
6%
19°C
3%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs points to a cooler-than-average air mass over Moscow on August 13, with highs likely near 15–16 °C amid increased cloud cover and light winds, well below the ~22 °C seasonal norm. This has concentrated trader bets on the narrow 15–17 °C band, where small differences in forecast details—such as the precise arrival of a weak front or variations in daytime insolation—separate the leading outcomes. Official updates from the Russian Hydrometeorological Center and final ensemble guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড


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