Traders price a 52.5% chance of 41°C or higher as the leading outcome for Jeddah's August 13 maximum because mid-August climatology in the region routinely produces peak temperatures in this range under the influence of subtropical high pressure, minimal cloud cover, and warm Red Sea surface waters that limit nocturnal cooling. Short-range forecast models show stable hot, dry conditions with light winds and no significant moisture advection expected over the next 48 hours, keeping the upper tail of the distribution favored. Historical August maxima frequently exceed 40°C, though small shifts in steering patterns or local sea breezes could still alter the exact peak. Updated model guidance from regional meteorological centers remains the key near-term catalyst for any adjustment in these market-implied probabilities.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Jeddah on August 13?
41°C or higher 53%
40°C 24%
39°C 13%
38°C 7%
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
1%
37°C
5%
38°C
7%
39°C
13%
40°C
24%
41°C or higher
53%
41°C or higher 53%
40°C 24%
39°C 13%
38°C 7%
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
1%
37°C
5%
38°C
7%
39°C
13%
40°C
24%
41°C or higher
53%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 11, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders price a 52.5% chance of 41°C or higher as the leading outcome for Jeddah's August 13 maximum because mid-August climatology in the region routinely produces peak temperatures in this range under the influence of subtropical high pressure, minimal cloud cover, and warm Red Sea surface waters that limit nocturnal cooling. Short-range forecast models show stable hot, dry conditions with light winds and no significant moisture advection expected over the next 48 hours, keeping the upper tail of the distribution favored. Historical August maxima frequently exceed 40°C, though small shifts in steering patterns or local sea breezes could still alter the exact peak. Updated model guidance from regional meteorological centers remains the key near-term catalyst for any adjustment in these market-implied probabilities.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড

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