Recent forecasts indicate widespread cloud cover, thunderstorms, and moderate rainfall over Shenzhen on August 14, 2026, which are the main factors capping daily maximum temperatures near 31–32 °C and driving the tightly matched market-implied odds for those outcomes. Subtropical summer conditions feature high humidity and weak steering winds, allowing convective systems to reduce surface insolation and enhance evaporative cooling, while urban heat-island effects provide a modest counterbalance. Model consensus from regional guidance shows only small differences in rain timing and coverage that could shift the peak by 1 °C, consistent with the narrow spread between the leading probabilities. Historical August climatology for the Pearl River Delta supports highs in this range when precipitation occurs, and no major tropical cyclone is projected to alter the pattern before resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Shenzhen on August 14?
31°C 31%
32°C 27%
30°C 16%
33°C 11%
26°C or below
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
7%
30°C
16%
31°C
31%
32°C
27%
33°C
11%
34°C
4%
35°C
2%
36°C or higher
1%
31°C 31%
32°C 27%
30°C 16%
33°C 11%
26°C or below
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
7%
30°C
16%
31°C
31%
32°C
27%
33°C
11%
34°C
4%
35°C
2%
36°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts indicate widespread cloud cover, thunderstorms, and moderate rainfall over Shenzhen on August 14, 2026, which are the main factors capping daily maximum temperatures near 31–32 °C and driving the tightly matched market-implied odds for those outcomes. Subtropical summer conditions feature high humidity and weak steering winds, allowing convective systems to reduce surface insolation and enhance evaporative cooling, while urban heat-island effects provide a modest counterbalance. Model consensus from regional guidance shows only small differences in rain timing and coverage that could shift the peak by 1 °C, consistent with the narrow spread between the leading probabilities. Historical August climatology for the Pearl River Delta supports highs in this range when precipitation occurs, and no major tropical cyclone is projected to alter the pattern before resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড

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