Close clustering of market-implied odds between 18–20°C reflects genuine uncertainty in short-range ensemble forecasts for Cape Town’s maximum temperature on August 14. Mid-August climatology in the Western Cape features average highs near 18°C under the influence of the South Atlantic subtropical high, with southeasterly winds and variable cloud cover from passing upper troughs or cold fronts capable of suppressing or enhancing daytime maxima by several degrees. Recent model runs show spread around these values due to differences in predicted boundary-layer mixing and frontal timing, while official guidance from the South African Weather Service emphasizes the narrow window for resolution. Updated 00Z and 12Z model cycles plus surface observations will narrow the range before the market settles.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Cape Town on August 14?
Highest temperature in Cape Town on August 14?
19°C 32%
18°C 26%
20°C 24%
17°C 19%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 14, 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
2%
15°C
1%
16°C
12%
17°C
19%
18°C
26%
19°C
32%
20°C
24%
21°C
4%
22°C
5%
23°C or higher
1%
19°C 32%
18°C 26%
20°C 24%
17°C 19%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 14, 2026
13°C or below
$12 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$19 Vol.
2%
15°C
$27 Vol.
1%
16°C
$0 Vol.
12%
17°C
$19 Vol.
19%
18°C
$15 Vol.
26%
19°C
$71 Vol.
32%
20°C
$44 Vol.
24%
21°C
$75 Vol.
4%
22°C
$35 Vol.
5%
23°C or higher
$12 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Close clustering of market-implied odds between 18–20°C reflects genuine uncertainty in short-range ensemble forecasts for Cape Town’s maximum temperature on August 14. Mid-August climatology in the Western Cape features average highs near 18°C under the influence of the South Atlantic subtropical high, with southeasterly winds and variable cloud cover from passing upper troughs or cold fronts capable of suppressing or enhancing daytime maxima by several degrees. Recent model runs show spread around these values due to differences in predicted boundary-layer mixing and frontal timing, while official guidance from the South African Weather Service emphasizes the narrow window for resolution. Updated 00Z and 12Z model cycles plus surface observations will narrow the range before the market settles.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 12, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
ভলিউম
$305শেষ তারিখ
Aug 14, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 12, 2026, 1:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Close clustering of market-implied odds between 18–20°C reflects genuine uncertainty in short-range ensemble forecasts for Cape Town’s maximum temperature on August 14. Mid-August climatology in the Western Cape features average highs near 18°C under the influence of the South Atlantic subtropical high, with southeasterly winds and variable cloud cover from passing upper troughs or cold fronts capable of suppressing or enhancing daytime maxima by several degrees. Recent model runs show spread around these values due to differences in predicted boundary-layer mixing and frontal timing, while official guidance from the South African Weather Service emphasizes the narrow window for resolution. Updated 00Z and 12Z model cycles plus surface observations will narrow the range before the market settles.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$305শেষ তারিখ
Aug 14, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 12, 2026, 1:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Close clustering of market-implied odds between 18–20°C reflects genuine uncertainty in short-range ensemble forecasts for Cape Town’s maximum temperature on August 14. Mid-August climatology in the Western Cape features average highs near 18°C under the influence of the South Atlantic subtropical high, with southeasterly winds and variable cloud cover from passing upper troughs or cold fronts capable of suppressing or enhancing daytime maxima by several degrees. Recent model runs show spread around these values due to differences in predicted boundary-layer mixing and frontal timing, while official guidance from the South African Weather Service emphasizes the narrow window for resolution. Updated 00Z and 12Z model cycles plus surface observations will narrow the range before the market settles.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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