Recent global forecast model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs, aligned with Russian Hydrometeorological Centre guidance, positions Moscow’s maximum temperature on August 14 near 16–18°C under moderate westerly flow, partial cloud cover limiting insolation, and surface high pressure suppressing warm advection. Ensemble spreads and boundary-layer variations create tight clustering around these values, with 17°C holding the highest market-implied probability at 37% as traders weigh the latest model outputs and typical mid-August cooling trends. Minor shifts in frontal timing or convective activity could alter the peak by 1–2°C, while next model cycles and official updates ahead of the observation window will refine the distribution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Moscow on August 14?
Highest temperature in Moscow on August 14?
17°C 37%
18°C 25%
16°C 14%
15°C 12%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 14, 2026
13°C or below
6%
14°C
5%
15°C
12%
16°C
14%
17°C
37%
18°C
25%
19°C
12%
20°C
4%
21°C
6%
22°C
2%
23°C or higher
2%
17°C 37%
18°C 25%
16°C 14%
15°C 12%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 14, 2026
13°C or below
$17 Vol.
6%
14°C
$111 Vol.
5%
15°C
$0 Vol.
12%
16°C
$0 Vol.
14%
17°C
$0 Vol.
37%
18°C
$198 Vol.
25%
19°C
$110 Vol.
12%
20°C
$28 Vol.
4%
21°C
$5 Vol.
6%
22°C
$12 Vol.
2%
23°C or higher
$12 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent global forecast model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs, aligned with Russian Hydrometeorological Centre guidance, positions Moscow’s maximum temperature on August 14 near 16–18°C under moderate westerly flow, partial cloud cover limiting insolation, and surface high pressure suppressing warm advection. Ensemble spreads and boundary-layer variations create tight clustering around these values, with 17°C holding the highest market-implied probability at 37% as traders weigh the latest model outputs and typical mid-August cooling trends. Minor shifts in frontal timing or convective activity could alter the peak by 1–2°C, while next model cycles and official updates ahead of the observation window will refine the distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
ভলিউম
$494শেষ তারিখ
Aug 14, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent global forecast model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs, aligned with Russian Hydrometeorological Centre guidance, positions Moscow’s maximum temperature on August 14 near 16–18°C under moderate westerly flow, partial cloud cover limiting insolation, and surface high pressure suppressing warm advection. Ensemble spreads and boundary-layer variations create tight clustering around these values, with 17°C holding the highest market-implied probability at 37% as traders weigh the latest model outputs and typical mid-August cooling trends. Minor shifts in frontal timing or convective activity could alter the peak by 1–2°C, while next model cycles and official updates ahead of the observation window will refine the distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$494শেষ তারিখ
Aug 14, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent global forecast model consensus from ECMWF and GFS runs, aligned with Russian Hydrometeorological Centre guidance, positions Moscow’s maximum temperature on August 14 near 16–18°C under moderate westerly flow, partial cloud cover limiting insolation, and surface high pressure suppressing warm advection. Ensemble spreads and boundary-layer variations create tight clustering around these values, with 17°C holding the highest market-implied probability at 37% as traders weigh the latest model outputs and typical mid-August cooling trends. Minor shifts in frontal timing or convective activity could alter the peak by 1–2°C, while next model cycles and official updates ahead of the observation window will refine the distribution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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