Forecast models from agencies including AEMET, ECMWF-influenced runs, and services such as the Met Office and timeanddate converge on a Madrid high of 38–39 °C for 14 August under persistent high pressure and dry continental air, consistent with the record warmth across western Europe this summer. This consensus, reinforced by recent observations of 37–39 °C peaks and climatological August averages near 32 °C, positions the two leading market outcomes as the clearest resolution range while leaving modest probability for a 40 °C outlier if daytime heating exceeds guidance. Updated model runs and the next official AEMET bulletin remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities before the market settles on verified maximum temperature data.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Madrid on August 14?
Highest temperature in Madrid on August 14?
39°C 48%
38°C 29%
40°C 16%
37°C 5%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 14, 2026
35°C or below
<1%
36°C
2%
37°C
5%
38°C
29%
39°C
48%
40°C
16%
41°C
3%
42°C
1%
43°C
<1%
44°C
<1%
45°C or higher
<1%
39°C 48%
38°C 29%
40°C 16%
37°C 5%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 14, 2026
35°C or below
$88 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$127 Vol.
2%
37°C
$171 Vol.
5%
38°C
$625 Vol.
29%
39°C
$298 Vol.
48%
40°C
$384 Vol.
16%
41°C
$120 Vol.
3%
42°C
$26 Vol.
1%
43°C
$34 Vol.
<1%
44°C
$38 Vol.
<1%
45°C or higher
$53 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including AEMET, ECMWF-influenced runs, and services such as the Met Office and timeanddate converge on a Madrid high of 38–39 °C for 14 August under persistent high pressure and dry continental air, consistent with the record warmth across western Europe this summer. This consensus, reinforced by recent observations of 37–39 °C peaks and climatological August averages near 32 °C, positions the two leading market outcomes as the clearest resolution range while leaving modest probability for a 40 °C outlier if daytime heating exceeds guidance. Updated model runs and the next official AEMET bulletin remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities before the market settles on verified maximum temperature data.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
ভলিউম
$1,965শেষ তারিখ
Aug 14, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including AEMET, ECMWF-influenced runs, and services such as the Met Office and timeanddate converge on a Madrid high of 38–39 °C for 14 August under persistent high pressure and dry continental air, consistent with the record warmth across western Europe this summer. This consensus, reinforced by recent observations of 37–39 °C peaks and climatological August averages near 32 °C, positions the two leading market outcomes as the clearest resolution range while leaving modest probability for a 40 °C outlier if daytime heating exceeds guidance. Updated model runs and the next official AEMET bulletin remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities before the market settles on verified maximum temperature data.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$1,965শেষ তারিখ
Aug 14, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 12, 2026, 1:03 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies including AEMET, ECMWF-influenced runs, and services such as the Met Office and timeanddate converge on a Madrid high of 38–39 °C for 14 August under persistent high pressure and dry continental air, consistent with the record warmth across western Europe this summer. This consensus, reinforced by recent observations of 37–39 °C peaks and climatological August averages near 32 °C, positions the two leading market outcomes as the clearest resolution range while leaving modest probability for a 40 °C outlier if daytime heating exceeds guidance. Updated model runs and the next official AEMET bulletin remain the key near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities before the market settles on verified maximum temperature data.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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