**The near-certain market consensus on 30°C reflects confirmation from Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) data that this was the official daily maximum on June 12, 2026.** June climatology in Hong Kong centers on highs near 30–31°C under typical subtropical conditions, and recent model guidance plus observed anticyclonic patterns supported stable warm weather without significant cooling from rain or stronger monsoon flow. Traders assign overwhelming weight to the authoritative HKO measurement because it directly determines resolution, with historical June variability rarely deviating enough to push the peak outside the 30°C bin once observations are finalized. The only realistic challenges would involve a late data revision, station-specific anomalies, or an overlooked micro-climate effect, all of which carry negligible probability given standard verification protocols.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Hong Kong on June 12?
30°C 99.8%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$220,173 Vol.
$220,173 Vol.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
100%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
30°C 99.8%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$220,173 Vol.
$220,173 Vol.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
100%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jun 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**The near-certain market consensus on 30°C reflects confirmation from Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) data that this was the official daily maximum on June 12, 2026.** June climatology in Hong Kong centers on highs near 30–31°C under typical subtropical conditions, and recent model guidance plus observed anticyclonic patterns supported stable warm weather without significant cooling from rain or stronger monsoon flow. Traders assign overwhelming weight to the authoritative HKO measurement because it directly determines resolution, with historical June variability rarely deviating enough to push the peak outside the 30°C bin once observations are finalized. The only realistic challenges would involve a late data revision, station-specific anomalies, or an overlooked micro-climate effect, all of which carry negligible probability given standard verification protocols.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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