**Forecast consensus from the Hong Kong Observatory and major models points to a maximum of 26–29 °C on June 16, 2026, under the influence of a moist southwesterly flow and scattered showers or thunderstorms.** These conditions limit daytime heating through persistent cloud cover and evaporative cooling from rainfall, keeping the upper end of the range near 29 °C while preventing a push into the low 30s. Seasonal guidance already signals above-normal temperatures for June–August, yet the near-term synoptic setup favors moderation rather than peak summer heat. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 28 °C and 29 °C reflects this narrow forecast envelope. Differentiation between those two outcomes hinges on small changes in rainfall timing and intensity: heavier or more persistent showers would cap the peak closer to 28 °C, while partial clearing or lighter activity could allow brief solar heating to reach 29 °C. A modest upward bias toward 30 °C appears only if models trend drier than currently expected. Historical June maxima average near 31 °C, but active monsoon moisture this week is suppressing that potential and anchoring trader sentiment within the 27–30 °C band. Updated model runs and the next official HKO briefing will be the key near-term catalysts.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Hong Kong on June 16?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on June 16?
29°C 33%
28°C 31%
30°C 19%
27°C 13%
নতুন
নতুন
Jun 16, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
13%
28°C
31%
29°C
33%
30°C
19%
31°C
6%
32°C
2%
33°C or higher
<1%
29°C 33%
28°C 31%
30°C 19%
27°C 13%
নতুন
নতুন
Jun 16, 2026
23°C or below
$158 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$168 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$291 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$573 Vol.
2%
27°C
$359 Vol.
13%
28°C
$248 Vol.
31%
29°C
$385 Vol.
33%
30°C
$221 Vol.
19%
31°C
$455 Vol.
6%
32°C
$637 Vol.
2%
33°C or higher
$83 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Forecast consensus from the Hong Kong Observatory and major models points to a maximum of 26–29 °C on June 16, 2026, under the influence of a moist southwesterly flow and scattered showers or thunderstorms.** These conditions limit daytime heating through persistent cloud cover and evaporative cooling from rainfall, keeping the upper end of the range near 29 °C while preventing a push into the low 30s. Seasonal guidance already signals above-normal temperatures for June–August, yet the near-term synoptic setup favors moderation rather than peak summer heat.
The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 28 °C and 29 °C reflects this narrow forecast envelope. Differentiation between those two outcomes hinges on small changes in rainfall timing and intensity: heavier or more persistent showers would cap the peak closer to 28 °C, while partial clearing or lighter activity could allow brief solar heating to reach 29 °C. A modest upward bias toward 30 °C appears only if models trend drier than currently expected. Historical June maxima average near 31 °C, but active monsoon moisture this week is suppressing that potential and anchoring trader sentiment within the 27–30 °C band. Updated model runs and the next official HKO briefing will be the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
ভলিউম
$3,469শেষ তারিখ
Jun 16, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Forecast consensus from the Hong Kong Observatory and major models points to a maximum of 26–29 °C on June 16, 2026, under the influence of a moist southwesterly flow and scattered showers or thunderstorms.** These conditions limit daytime heating through persistent cloud cover and evaporative cooling from rainfall, keeping the upper end of the range near 29 °C while preventing a push into the low 30s. Seasonal guidance already signals above-normal temperatures for June–August, yet the near-term synoptic setup favors moderation rather than peak summer heat.
The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 28 °C and 29 °C reflects this narrow forecast envelope. Differentiation between those two outcomes hinges on small changes in rainfall timing and intensity: heavier or more persistent showers would cap the peak closer to 28 °C, while partial clearing or lighter activity could allow brief solar heating to reach 29 °C. A modest upward bias toward 30 °C appears only if models trend drier than currently expected. Historical June maxima average near 31 °C, but active monsoon moisture this week is suppressing that potential and anchoring trader sentiment within the 27–30 °C band. Updated model runs and the next official HKO briefing will be the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ভলিউম
$3,469শেষ তারিখ
Jun 16, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jun 14, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from the Hong Kong Observatory and major models points to a maximum of 26–29 °C on June 16, 2026, under the influence of a moist southwesterly flow and scattered showers or thunderstorms.** These conditions limit daytime heating through persistent cloud cover and evaporative cooling from rainfall, keeping the upper end of the range near 29 °C while preventing a push into the low 30s. Seasonal guidance already signals above-normal temperatures for June–August, yet the near-term synoptic setup favors moderation rather than peak summer heat. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 28 °C and 29 °C reflects this narrow forecast envelope. Differentiation between those two outcomes hinges on small changes in rainfall timing and intensity: heavier or more persistent showers would cap the peak closer to 28 °C, while partial clearing or lighter activity could allow brief solar heating to reach 29 °C. A modest upward bias toward 30 °C appears only if models trend drier than currently expected. Historical June maxima average near 31 °C, but active monsoon moisture this week is suppressing that potential and anchoring trader sentiment within the 27–30 °C band. Updated model runs and the next official HKO briefing will be the key near-term catalysts.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা