Forecast models from sources including the GFS and regional meteorological agencies indicate a maximum temperature of 26–28°C for Istanbul on September 4, driven by persistent northeasterly winds and stable high-pressure conditions that limit daytime heating. These patterns align with late-summer climatology, where typical highs range 25–29°C without significant warm advection or cloud cover to alter the outcome. Recent runs show minimal model spread, with partly cloudy skies and low precipitation chances reinforcing trader consensus around the 26°C and 27°C outcomes at combined implied probabilities near 85%. Updated short-range guidance expected in the next 12–24 hours could refine the exact peak if wind speeds or insolation change.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Istanbul on September 4?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on September 4?
26°C 57%
27°C 28%
25°C 13%
28°C 4%
নতুন
নতুন
Sep 4, 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
13%
26°C
57%
27°C
28%
28°C
4%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 57%
27°C 28%
25°C 13%
28°C 4%
নতুন
নতুন
Sep 4, 2026
22°C or below
$95 Vol.
1%
23°C
$190 Vol.
1%
24°C
$170 Vol.
2%
25°C
$589 Vol.
13%
26°C
$630 Vol.
57%
27°C
$590 Vol.
28%
28°C
$95 Vol.
4%
29°C
$198 Vol.
1%
30°C
$10 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
32°C or higher
$31 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the GFS and regional meteorological agencies indicate a maximum temperature of 26–28°C for Istanbul on September 4, driven by persistent northeasterly winds and stable high-pressure conditions that limit daytime heating. These patterns align with late-summer climatology, where typical highs range 25–29°C without significant warm advection or cloud cover to alter the outcome. Recent runs show minimal model spread, with partly cloudy skies and low precipitation chances reinforcing trader consensus around the 26°C and 27°C outcomes at combined implied probabilities near 85%. Updated short-range guidance expected in the next 12–24 hours could refine the exact peak if wind speeds or insolation change.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 2, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
ভলিউম
$2,613শেষ তারিখ
Sep 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 2, 2026, 12:57 AM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the GFS and regional meteorological agencies indicate a maximum temperature of 26–28°C for Istanbul on September 4, driven by persistent northeasterly winds and stable high-pressure conditions that limit daytime heating. These patterns align with late-summer climatology, where typical highs range 25–29°C without significant warm advection or cloud cover to alter the outcome. Recent runs show minimal model spread, with partly cloudy skies and low precipitation chances reinforcing trader consensus around the 26°C and 27°C outcomes at combined implied probabilities near 85%. Updated short-range guidance expected in the next 12–24 hours could refine the exact peak if wind speeds or insolation change.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$2,613শেষ তারিখ
Sep 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 2, 2026, 12:57 AM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the GFS and regional meteorological agencies indicate a maximum temperature of 26–28°C for Istanbul on September 4, driven by persistent northeasterly winds and stable high-pressure conditions that limit daytime heating. These patterns align with late-summer climatology, where typical highs range 25–29°C without significant warm advection or cloud cover to alter the outcome. Recent runs show minimal model spread, with partly cloudy skies and low precipitation chances reinforcing trader consensus around the 26°C and 27°C outcomes at combined implied probabilities near 85%. Updated short-range guidance expected in the next 12–24 hours could refine the exact peak if wind speeds or insolation change.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা