Recent short-range forecast models and AEMET guidance point to a stable high-pressure ridge advecting warm air over central Spain, supporting maximum temperatures of 36–37°C in Madrid on September 2 under clear skies, light southerly winds, and low humidity. This setup aligns with the market’s strongest implied probabilities on 37°C (52%) and 36°C (38%), reflecting trader consensus around ensemble outputs showing afternoon peaks in that narrow range. Historical early-September climatology for the region averages near 33–34°C, so the current anomaly reinforces elevated readings without exceeding 38°C in most guidance. The next AEMET daily update and refined ECMWF/GFS runs will provide the key data shift before resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Madrid on September 2?
Highest temperature in Madrid on September 2?
36°C 54%
37°C 41%
38°C 5%
35°C 4%
নতুন
নতুন
Sep 2, 2026
31°C or below
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
1%
34°C
2%
35°C
4%
36°C
54%
37°C
41%
38°C
5%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
36°C 54%
37°C 41%
38°C 5%
35°C 4%
নতুন
নতুন
Sep 2, 2026
31°C or below
$323 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$272 Vol.
1%
33°C
$112 Vol.
1%
34°C
$91 Vol.
2%
35°C
$162 Vol.
4%
36°C
$562 Vol.
54%
37°C
$839 Vol.
41%
38°C
$207 Vol.
5%
39°C
$58 Vol.
<1%
40°C
$95 Vol.
<1%
41°C or higher
$78 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecast models and AEMET guidance point to a stable high-pressure ridge advecting warm air over central Spain, supporting maximum temperatures of 36–37°C in Madrid on September 2 under clear skies, light southerly winds, and low humidity. This setup aligns with the market’s strongest implied probabilities on 37°C (52%) and 36°C (38%), reflecting trader consensus around ensemble outputs showing afternoon peaks in that narrow range. Historical early-September climatology for the region averages near 33–34°C, so the current anomaly reinforces elevated readings without exceeding 38°C in most guidance. The next AEMET daily update and refined ECMWF/GFS runs will provide the key data shift before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ভলিউম
$2,799শেষ তারিখ
Sep 2, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecast models and AEMET guidance point to a stable high-pressure ridge advecting warm air over central Spain, supporting maximum temperatures of 36–37°C in Madrid on September 2 under clear skies, light southerly winds, and low humidity. This setup aligns with the market’s strongest implied probabilities on 37°C (52%) and 36°C (38%), reflecting trader consensus around ensemble outputs showing afternoon peaks in that narrow range. Historical early-September climatology for the region averages near 33–34°C, so the current anomaly reinforces elevated readings without exceeding 38°C in most guidance. The next AEMET daily update and refined ECMWF/GFS runs will provide the key data shift before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$2,799শেষ তারিখ
Sep 2, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 31, 2026, 12:56 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecast models and AEMET guidance point to a stable high-pressure ridge advecting warm air over central Spain, supporting maximum temperatures of 36–37°C in Madrid on September 2 under clear skies, light southerly winds, and low humidity. This setup aligns with the market’s strongest implied probabilities on 37°C (52%) and 36°C (38%), reflecting trader consensus around ensemble outputs showing afternoon peaks in that narrow range. Historical early-September climatology for the region averages near 33–34°C, so the current anomaly reinforces elevated readings without exceeding 38°C in most guidance. The next AEMET daily update and refined ECMWF/GFS runs will provide the key data shift before resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা