Forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and the Met Office indicate Mexico City will experience typical mid-August rainy-season conditions on August 9, with a daily high near 24°C driving the leading 40% market-implied probability. The city's 2,240-meter elevation limits peak temperatures through reduced atmospheric pressure and enhanced radiative cooling, while frequent afternoon convective showers and cloud cover further suppress warming by reflecting solar radiation and promoting evaporative cooling. Historical climatology shows August highs averaging 23–25°C with low interannual variability during the North American monsoon period. Recent model consensus shows minimal deviation from these norms, with no strong high-pressure ridge or clear-sky anomaly expected to push readings to 26°C or above, keeping the 23–25°C outcomes collectively above 85% implied probability. Updated forecasts tomorrow morning will refine resolution criteria tied to official station measurements.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Mexico City on August 9?
24°C 40%
23°C 25%
25°C 23%
22°C 7%
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
3%
22°C
7%
23°C
25%
24°C
40%
25°C
23%
26°C
7%
27°C or higher
<1%
24°C 40%
23°C 25%
25°C 23%
22°C 7%
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
3%
22°C
7%
23°C
25%
24°C
40%
25°C
23%
26°C
7%
27°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 7, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and the Met Office indicate Mexico City will experience typical mid-August rainy-season conditions on August 9, with a daily high near 24°C driving the leading 40% market-implied probability. The city's 2,240-meter elevation limits peak temperatures through reduced atmospheric pressure and enhanced radiative cooling, while frequent afternoon convective showers and cloud cover further suppress warming by reflecting solar radiation and promoting evaporative cooling. Historical climatology shows August highs averaging 23–25°C with low interannual variability during the North American monsoon period. Recent model consensus shows minimal deviation from these norms, with no strong high-pressure ridge or clear-sky anomaly expected to push readings to 26°C or above, keeping the 23–25°C outcomes collectively above 85% implied probability. Updated forecasts tomorrow morning will refine resolution criteria tied to official station measurements.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড


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