Latest National Weather Service guidance highlights a warm, high-pressure pattern over South Florida, with model consensus supporting afternoon highs near 96–97°F on August 19 amid light southerly flow and minimal cloud cover. This aligns with the market’s leading 53.5% implied probability for that bin, as recent observations show temperatures already climbing into the mid-90s and heat-index values exceeding 105°F. Historical August maxima average 89–91°F, but the current setup favors modest exceedance without strong sea-breeze suppression or thunderstorm initiation. Traders appear to weigh remaining model spread and possible convective timing as the main sources of uncertainty for the narrower 94–95°F and 98–99°F outcomes. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon model runs tomorrow will provide the final data ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Miami on August 19?
Highest temperature in Miami on August 19?
96-97°F 54%
94-95°F 30%
98-99°F 12%
100-101°F 4%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 19, 2026
87°F or below
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
3%
94-95°F
30%
96-97°F
54%
98-99°F
12%
100-101°F
4%
102-103°F
<1%
104-105°F
<1%
106°F or higher
<1%
96-97°F 54%
94-95°F 30%
98-99°F 12%
100-101°F 4%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 19, 2026
87°F or below
$35 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$352 Vol.
<1%
90-91°F
$2,432 Vol.
1%
92-93°F
$527 Vol.
3%
94-95°F
$827 Vol.
30%
96-97°F
$802 Vol.
54%
98-99°F
$783 Vol.
12%
100-101°F
$1,167 Vol.
4%
102-103°F
$150 Vol.
<1%
104-105°F
$312 Vol.
<1%
106°F or higher
$150 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service guidance highlights a warm, high-pressure pattern over South Florida, with model consensus supporting afternoon highs near 96–97°F on August 19 amid light southerly flow and minimal cloud cover. This aligns with the market’s leading 53.5% implied probability for that bin, as recent observations show temperatures already climbing into the mid-90s and heat-index values exceeding 105°F. Historical August maxima average 89–91°F, but the current setup favors modest exceedance without strong sea-breeze suppression or thunderstorm initiation. Traders appear to weigh remaining model spread and possible convective timing as the main sources of uncertainty for the narrower 94–95°F and 98–99°F outcomes. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon model runs tomorrow will provide the final data ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 17, 2026, 9:56 PM ET
ভলিউম
$7,537শেষ তারিখ
Aug 19, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 17, 2026, 9:56 PM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service guidance highlights a warm, high-pressure pattern over South Florida, with model consensus supporting afternoon highs near 96–97°F on August 19 amid light southerly flow and minimal cloud cover. This aligns with the market’s leading 53.5% implied probability for that bin, as recent observations show temperatures already climbing into the mid-90s and heat-index values exceeding 105°F. Historical August maxima average 89–91°F, but the current setup favors modest exceedance without strong sea-breeze suppression or thunderstorm initiation. Traders appear to weigh remaining model spread and possible convective timing as the main sources of uncertainty for the narrower 94–95°F and 98–99°F outcomes. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon model runs tomorrow will provide the final data ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$7,537শেষ তারিখ
Aug 19, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 17, 2026, 9:56 PM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service guidance highlights a warm, high-pressure pattern over South Florida, with model consensus supporting afternoon highs near 96–97°F on August 19 amid light southerly flow and minimal cloud cover. This aligns with the market’s leading 53.5% implied probability for that bin, as recent observations show temperatures already climbing into the mid-90s and heat-index values exceeding 105°F. Historical August maxima average 89–91°F, but the current setup favors modest exceedance without strong sea-breeze suppression or thunderstorm initiation. Traders appear to weigh remaining model spread and possible convective timing as the main sources of uncertainty for the narrower 94–95°F and 98–99°F outcomes. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon model runs tomorrow will provide the final data ahead of market resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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