Recent forecast model runs from agencies including the Met Office and numerical ensembles position 24°C as the leading outcome for Moscow’s maximum temperature on August 17, with 23°C close behind, reflecting typical late-summer atmospheric conditions featuring moderate high pressure and limited warm-air advection. Ensemble guidance shows consensus around 22–25°C amid variable cloud cover and light showers that could cap daytime peaks, consistent with August climatology where daily highs average near 22°C. Market-implied probabilities align closely with this narrow range, as traders incorporate the latest observational data and model updates showing no significant deviation from seasonal norms. Key upcoming factors include refined short-range forecasts and surface observations on the 17th that will determine resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Moscow on August 17?
24°C 46%
23°C 29%
25°C 13%
22°C 7%
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
2%
21°C
3%
22°C
7%
23°C
29%
24°C
46%
25°C
13%
26°C
4%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
<1%
24°C 46%
23°C 29%
25°C 13%
22°C 7%
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
2%
21°C
3%
22°C
7%
23°C
29%
24°C
46%
25°C
13%
26°C
4%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 15, 2026, 4:07 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs from agencies including the Met Office and numerical ensembles position 24°C as the leading outcome for Moscow’s maximum temperature on August 17, with 23°C close behind, reflecting typical late-summer atmospheric conditions featuring moderate high pressure and limited warm-air advection. Ensemble guidance shows consensus around 22–25°C amid variable cloud cover and light showers that could cap daytime peaks, consistent with August climatology where daily highs average near 22°C. Market-implied probabilities align closely with this narrow range, as traders incorporate the latest observational data and model updates showing no significant deviation from seasonal norms. Key upcoming factors include refined short-range forecasts and surface observations on the 17th that will determine resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড


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