Short-term forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models indicate minimum temperatures around 27°C for August 18 amid typical late-summer monsoon conditions with showers and high humidity that limit overnight radiative cooling. Historical August lows average near 26–27°C, with seasonal outlooks projecting normal to above-normal readings through October consistent with long-term warming trends. These factors concentrate implied probabilities on 26–28°C outcomes, while the narrow two-day window ahead leaves limited scope for major shifts unless unexpected frontal activity or model revisions emerge.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 18?
27°C 45%
26°C 27%
28°C 16%
25°C 12%
23°C or below
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
12%
26°C
27%
27°C
45%
28°C
16%
29°C
3%
30°C
2%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
27°C 45%
26°C 27%
28°C 16%
25°C 12%
23°C or below
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
12%
26°C
27%
27°C
45%
28°C
16%
29°C
3%
30°C
2%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Short-term forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and models indicate minimum temperatures around 27°C for August 18 amid typical late-summer monsoon conditions with showers and high humidity that limit overnight radiative cooling. Historical August lows average near 26–27°C, with seasonal outlooks projecting normal to above-normal readings through October consistent with long-term warming trends. These factors concentrate implied probabilities on 26–28°C outcomes, while the narrow two-day window ahead leaves limited scope for major shifts unless unexpected frontal activity or model revisions emerge.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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