Forecast consensus from the Hong Kong Observatory and regional models points to overnight lows of 27–28°C on August 17 amid typical mid-summer conditions of high humidity, scattered showers, and light winds. These factors limit radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures aligned with August climatology rather than allowing sharper drops. Recent model runs show minimal spread around these values, supporting the market's heaviest weighting on 27°C and 28°C outcomes while assigning lower implied probability to outliers like 26°C or 29°C. Updated guidance ahead of the overnight period could refine the exact minimum recorded at the official observatory station.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 17?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 17?
28°C 42%
27°C 28%
29°C 14%
26°C 13%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 17, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
4%
26°C
13%
27°C
28%
28°C
42%
29°C
14%
30°C
5%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
28°C 42%
27°C 28%
29°C 14%
26°C 13%
নতুন
নতুন
Aug 17, 2026
23°C or below
$27 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$15 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$86 Vol.
4%
26°C
$303 Vol.
13%
27°C
$108 Vol.
28%
28°C
$830 Vol.
42%
29°C
$74 Vol.
14%
30°C
$60 Vol.
5%
31°C
$10 Vol.
1%
32°C
$491 Vol.
<1%
33°C or higher
$941 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecast consensus from the Hong Kong Observatory and regional models points to overnight lows of 27–28°C on August 17 amid typical mid-summer conditions of high humidity, scattered showers, and light winds. These factors limit radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures aligned with August climatology rather than allowing sharper drops. Recent model runs show minimal spread around these values, supporting the market's heaviest weighting on 27°C and 28°C outcomes while assigning lower implied probability to outliers like 26°C or 29°C. Updated guidance ahead of the overnight period could refine the exact minimum recorded at the official observatory station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
ভলিউম
$2,945শেষ তারিখ
Aug 17, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Forecast consensus from the Hong Kong Observatory and regional models points to overnight lows of 27–28°C on August 17 amid typical mid-summer conditions of high humidity, scattered showers, and light winds. These factors limit radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures aligned with August climatology rather than allowing sharper drops. Recent model runs show minimal spread around these values, supporting the market's heaviest weighting on 27°C and 28°C outcomes while assigning lower implied probability to outliers like 26°C or 29°C. Updated guidance ahead of the overnight period could refine the exact minimum recorded at the official observatory station.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ভলিউম
$2,945শেষ তারিখ
Aug 17, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from the Hong Kong Observatory and regional models points to overnight lows of 27–28°C on August 17 amid typical mid-summer conditions of high humidity, scattered showers, and light winds. These factors limit radiative cooling, keeping minimum temperatures aligned with August climatology rather than allowing sharper drops. Recent model runs show minimal spread around these values, supporting the market's heaviest weighting on 27°C and 28°C outcomes while assigning lower implied probability to outliers like 26°C or 29°C. Updated guidance ahead of the overnight period could refine the exact minimum recorded at the official observatory station.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা