Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a cooling trend for Moscow on August 24, with daytime highs most likely peaking near 19–21°C under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly winds. This follows warmer conditions earlier in the week and aligns with the arrival of a fresher Atlantic air mass that limits solar heating and convective activity. Market-implied odds favor 20°C as the modal outcome because ensemble guidance clusters tightly in this range, consistent with historical late-August norms of 18–20°C maxima, while lower probabilities for 25°C or higher reflect the low likelihood of significant warm advection or clear-sky amplification in the current pattern. Updated model runs over the next 24–48 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.