**Forecast consensus from GFS and other models points to a high of 24–25°C under stable high pressure, clear skies, and light northeast winds on September 22, 2026, which explains the near-even market split between those two outcomes.** Clear conditions promote strong daytime radiative heating, with peak temperatures typically occurring in the mid-afternoon when solar insolation is highest and minimal cloud cover allows efficient warming of the surface and boundary layer. Dry air and modest winds limit mixing and evaporative cooling, supporting the upper end of the range, while slight differences in model timing or residual moisture account for the narrow uncertainty between 24°C and 25°C. Historical September averages near 21°C provide context, but the current synoptic setup favors above-normal warmth. Traders will watch the next ECMWF and GFS runs for any adjustments to the thermal profile before resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Paris on September 22?
24°C 49%
25°C 43%
26°C 6%
23°C 4%
19°C or below
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
4%
24°C
49%
25°C
43%
26°C
6%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
24°C 49%
25°C 43%
26°C 6%
23°C 4%
19°C or below
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
4%
24°C
49%
25°C
43%
26°C
6%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 20, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from GFS and other models points to a high of 24–25°C under stable high pressure, clear skies, and light northeast winds on September 22, 2026, which explains the near-even market split between those two outcomes.** Clear conditions promote strong daytime radiative heating, with peak temperatures typically occurring in the mid-afternoon when solar insolation is highest and minimal cloud cover allows efficient warming of the surface and boundary layer. Dry air and modest winds limit mixing and evaporative cooling, supporting the upper end of the range, while slight differences in model timing or residual moisture account for the narrow uncertainty between 24°C and 25°C. Historical September averages near 21°C provide context, but the current synoptic setup favors above-normal warmth. Traders will watch the next ECMWF and GFS runs for any adjustments to the thermal profile before resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা