Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 74.5% implied probability to a high temperature of 23°C or below in Qingdao on May 14, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecasts and global models like ECMWF and GFS, which project daytime highs around 22°C amid persistent cloud cover and cool northerly winds. Coastal sea breezes and elevated humidity from recent light rain systems are suppressing temperatures, aligning with mid-May climatological averages of 20–23°C highs at Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport, the market's resolution source. Over the past 48 hours, observed highs stayed below 23°C, reinforcing this positioning, though model runs indicate a small risk of afternoon clearing that could nudge toward 24°C (15% odds). Updated CMA bulletins and hourly airport data expected throughout the day will refine these probabilities.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Qingdao on May 14?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on May 14?
23°C or below 85%
24°C 11%
25°C 4.1%
26°C 3.5%
নতুন
নতুন
May 14, 2026
23°C or below
85%
24°C
11%
25°C
4%
26°C
3%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
23°C or below 85%
24°C 11%
25°C 4.1%
26°C 3.5%
নতুন
নতুন
May 14, 2026
23°C or below
$823 Vol.
85%
24°C
$433 Vol.
11%
25°C
$579 Vol.
4%
26°C
$268 Vol.
3%
27°C
$581 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$668 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$738 Vol.
1%
30°C
$530 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$1,038 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$580 Vol.
<1%
33°C or higher
$1,184 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 74.5% implied probability to a high temperature of 23°C or below in Qingdao on May 14, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecasts and global models like ECMWF and GFS, which project daytime highs around 22°C amid persistent cloud cover and cool northerly winds. Coastal sea breezes and elevated humidity from recent light rain systems are suppressing temperatures, aligning with mid-May climatological averages of 20–23°C highs at Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport, the market's resolution source. Over the past 48 hours, observed highs stayed below 23°C, reinforcing this positioning, though model runs indicate a small risk of afternoon clearing that could nudge toward 24°C (15% odds). Updated CMA bulletins and hourly airport data expected throughout the day will refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: May 12, 2026, 12:16 AM ET
ভলিউম
$7,422শেষ তারিখ
May 14, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 12, 2026, 12:16 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 74.5% implied probability to a high temperature of 23°C or below in Qingdao on May 14, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecasts and global models like ECMWF and GFS, which project daytime highs around 22°C amid persistent cloud cover and cool northerly winds. Coastal sea breezes and elevated humidity from recent light rain systems are suppressing temperatures, aligning with mid-May climatological averages of 20–23°C highs at Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport, the market's resolution source. Over the past 48 hours, observed highs stayed below 23°C, reinforcing this positioning, though model runs indicate a small risk of afternoon clearing that could nudge toward 24°C (15% odds). Updated CMA bulletins and hourly airport data expected throughout the day will refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ভলিউম
$7,422শেষ তারিখ
May 14, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
May 12, 2026, 12:16 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 74.5% implied probability to a high temperature of 23°C or below in Qingdao on May 14, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration (CMA) forecasts and global models like ECMWF and GFS, which project daytime highs around 22°C amid persistent cloud cover and cool northerly winds. Coastal sea breezes and elevated humidity from recent light rain systems are suppressing temperatures, aligning with mid-May climatological averages of 20–23°C highs at Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport, the market's resolution source. Over the past 48 hours, observed highs stayed below 23°C, reinforcing this positioning, though model runs indicate a small risk of afternoon clearing that could nudge toward 24°C (15% odds). Updated CMA bulletins and hourly airport data expected throughout the day will refine these probabilities.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা