Latest Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts and ensemble models indicate a daytime maximum near 33–34°C for Seoul and Incheon on August 14, with mostly cloudy skies, 20–30% shower chances, and light easterly flow limiting full solar heating. Traders’ clustering around 31–32°C reflects uncertainty over cloud thickness and any earlier or more widespread convection that could cap temperatures below official guidance. Recent high-pressure ridging over the peninsula has begun weakening, allowing greater moisture influx and reduced insolation compared with the prior week’s extreme heat. Historical August climatology shows typical maxima of 29–31°C, so current model consensus sits modestly above baseline yet below peak heatwave levels. Updated KMA and global model runs tomorrow morning will provide the key data shift ahead of resolution.