Official forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting models indicate a high of 21–22°C for Toronto on September 18 under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with northerly winds around 15–20 km/h, aligning with the historical average high of 21.4°C. This consensus, combined with low precipitation chances and stable high pressure near 102 kPa, underpins the market’s strong weighting toward 21°C at 59.5% implied probability. Traders appear to discount slight upside risks from localized warming or model variance that could push readings to 22°C (20%), while cooler outcomes near 20°C (15.5%) reflect limited downside potential given current observational trends and seasonal baselines. Updated model runs later today could refine these probabilities ahead of daily resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Toronto on September 18?
21°C 61%
22°C 26%
20°C 14%
19°C 3%
$15,521 Vol.
$15,521 Vol.
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
3%
20°C
14%
21°C
61%
22°C
26%
23°C
2%
24°C or higher
<1%
21°C 61%
22°C 26%
20°C 14%
19°C 3%
$15,521 Vol.
$15,521 Vol.
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
3%
20°C
14%
21°C
61%
22°C
26%
23°C
2%
24°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 16, 2026, 8:56 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyzরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from Environment Canada and supporting models indicate a high of 21–22°C for Toronto on September 18 under mostly sunny to partly cloudy skies with northerly winds around 15–20 km/h, aligning with the historical average high of 21.4°C. This consensus, combined with low precipitation chances and stable high pressure near 102 kPa, underpins the market’s strong weighting toward 21°C at 59.5% implied probability. Traders appear to discount slight upside risks from localized warming or model variance that could push readings to 22°C (20%), while cooler outcomes near 20°C (15.5%) reflect limited downside potential given current observational trends and seasonal baselines. Updated model runs later today could refine these probabilities ahead of daily resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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