Short-range numerical weather prediction models from MetService New Zealand currently converge on a 16–17°C maximum for Wellington on June 15, with northerly flow sustaining above-average afternoon readings before a frontal passage brings rain and a southwesterly shift. This tight consensus between leading outcomes explains the closely matched market-implied odds, as small differences in cloud cover, precipitation timing, or boundary-layer mixing can shift the daily peak by 1°C. NIWA’s seasonal outlook places temperatures near the June climatological average of roughly 13°C, yet local variability from transient synoptic features creates genuine forecast uncertainty resolved only by official observations. Traders will monitor the next model runs for any adjustments to wind or moisture profiles ahead of resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Wellington on June 15?
Highest temperature in Wellington on June 15?
17°C 49%
16°C 42%
18°C 5%
15°C 3.3%
নতুন
নতুন
Jun 15, 2026
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
3%
16°C
42%
17°C
49%
18°C
5%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
17°C 49%
16°C 42%
18°C 5%
15°C 3.3%
নতুন
নতুন
Jun 15, 2026
11°C or below
$167 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$365 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$1,254 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$1,015 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$1,381 Vol.
3%
16°C
$435 Vol.
42%
17°C
$1,416 Vol.
49%
18°C
$615 Vol.
5%
19°C
$670 Vol.
1%
20°C
$636 Vol.
<1%
21°C or higher
$352 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-range numerical weather prediction models from MetService New Zealand currently converge on a 16–17°C maximum for Wellington on June 15, with northerly flow sustaining above-average afternoon readings before a frontal passage brings rain and a southwesterly shift. This tight consensus between leading outcomes explains the closely matched market-implied odds, as small differences in cloud cover, precipitation timing, or boundary-layer mixing can shift the daily peak by 1°C. NIWA’s seasonal outlook places temperatures near the June climatological average of roughly 13°C, yet local variability from transient synoptic features creates genuine forecast uncertainty resolved only by official observations. Traders will monitor the next model runs for any adjustments to wind or moisture profiles ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jun 13, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
ভলিউম
$8,140শেষ তারিখ
Jun 15, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jun 13, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-range numerical weather prediction models from MetService New Zealand currently converge on a 16–17°C maximum for Wellington on June 15, with northerly flow sustaining above-average afternoon readings before a frontal passage brings rain and a southwesterly shift. This tight consensus between leading outcomes explains the closely matched market-implied odds, as small differences in cloud cover, precipitation timing, or boundary-layer mixing can shift the daily peak by 1°C. NIWA’s seasonal outlook places temperatures near the June climatological average of roughly 13°C, yet local variability from transient synoptic features creates genuine forecast uncertainty resolved only by official observations. Traders will monitor the next model runs for any adjustments to wind or moisture profiles ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$8,140শেষ তারিখ
Jun 15, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Jun 13, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Short-range numerical weather prediction models from MetService New Zealand currently converge on a 16–17°C maximum for Wellington on June 15, with northerly flow sustaining above-average afternoon readings before a frontal passage brings rain and a southwesterly shift. This tight consensus between leading outcomes explains the closely matched market-implied odds, as small differences in cloud cover, precipitation timing, or boundary-layer mixing can shift the daily peak by 1°C. NIWA’s seasonal outlook places temperatures near the June climatological average of roughly 13°C, yet local variability from transient synoptic features creates genuine forecast uncertainty resolved only by official observations. Traders will monitor the next model runs for any adjustments to wind or moisture profiles ahead of resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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