**Approaching southerly change and associated cold front are the dominant drivers behind the market's concentration around 12–13°C highs for Wellington on September 7.** Official guidance from MetService and international models shows northwesterlies shifting to southeasterlies, with widespread rain and cooler maritime air suppressing daytime maxima below recent 14–15°C readings. Ensemble spread in short-range forecasts creates the observed probability distribution, with 13°C leading at 32% as the most common model consensus outcome while lower (11–12°C) and higher (14–15°C) bins capture timing and intensity uncertainties in frontal passage. Persistent El Niño-enhanced westerlies add variability to spring temperature anomalies, but the immediate synoptic setup favors a modest cool anomaly relative to the early-September climatological mean of roughly 13–14°C. Updated model runs and MetService briefings over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the distribution ahead of resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Wellington on September 7?
Highest temperature in Wellington on September 7?
13°C 36%
12°C 25%
14°C 15%
15°C 10%
নতুন
নতুন
Sep 7, 2026
9°C or below
1%
10°C
4%
11°C
7%
12°C
25%
13°C
36%
14°C
15%
15°C
10%
16°C
4%
17°C
4%
18°C
3%
19°C or higher
3%
13°C 36%
12°C 25%
14°C 15%
15°C 10%
নতুন
নতুন
Sep 7, 2026
9°C or below
$5 Vol.
1%
10°C
$14 Vol.
4%
11°C
$37 Vol.
7%
12°C
$0 Vol.
25%
13°C
$214 Vol.
36%
14°C
$350 Vol.
15%
15°C
$80 Vol.
10%
16°C
$0 Vol.
4%
17°C
$0 Vol.
4%
18°C
$5 Vol.
3%
19°C or higher
$0 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Approaching southerly change and associated cold front are the dominant drivers behind the market's concentration around 12–13°C highs for Wellington on September 7.** Official guidance from MetService and international models shows northwesterlies shifting to southeasterlies, with widespread rain and cooler maritime air suppressing daytime maxima below recent 14–15°C readings. Ensemble spread in short-range forecasts creates the observed probability distribution, with 13°C leading at 32% as the most common model consensus outcome while lower (11–12°C) and higher (14–15°C) bins capture timing and intensity uncertainties in frontal passage. Persistent El Niño-enhanced westerlies add variability to spring temperature anomalies, but the immediate synoptic setup favors a modest cool anomaly relative to the early-September climatological mean of roughly 13–14°C. Updated model runs and MetService briefings over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the distribution ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 5, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ভলিউম
$705শেষ তারিখ
Sep 7, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 5, 2026, 12:56 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Approaching southerly change and associated cold front are the dominant drivers behind the market's concentration around 12–13°C highs for Wellington on September 7.** Official guidance from MetService and international models shows northwesterlies shifting to southeasterlies, with widespread rain and cooler maritime air suppressing daytime maxima below recent 14–15°C readings. Ensemble spread in short-range forecasts creates the observed probability distribution, with 13°C leading at 32% as the most common model consensus outcome while lower (11–12°C) and higher (14–15°C) bins capture timing and intensity uncertainties in frontal passage. Persistent El Niño-enhanced westerlies add variability to spring temperature anomalies, but the immediate synoptic setup favors a modest cool anomaly relative to the early-September climatological mean of roughly 13–14°C. Updated model runs and MetService briefings over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the distribution ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$705শেষ তারিখ
Sep 7, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 5, 2026, 12:56 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...**Approaching southerly change and associated cold front are the dominant drivers behind the market's concentration around 12–13°C highs for Wellington on September 7.** Official guidance from MetService and international models shows northwesterlies shifting to southeasterlies, with widespread rain and cooler maritime air suppressing daytime maxima below recent 14–15°C readings. Ensemble spread in short-range forecasts creates the observed probability distribution, with 13°C leading at 32% as the most common model consensus outcome while lower (11–12°C) and higher (14–15°C) bins capture timing and intensity uncertainties in frontal passage. Persistent El Niño-enhanced westerlies add variability to spring temperature anomalies, but the immediate synoptic setup favors a modest cool anomaly relative to the early-September climatological mean of roughly 13–14°C. Updated model runs and MetService briefings over the next 48 hours will likely narrow the distribution ahead of resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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