Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate September 4 highs between 25–29°C under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers, driven by lingering influences from tropical cyclone Sadul and the northeast monsoon enhancing wind and moisture. These conditions promote extensive cloud cover that limits solar heating and caps peak temperatures, while variable shower timing introduces uncertainty in the precise daily maximum. Market-implied odds clustering tightly around 28–29°C reflect trader assessment of this balance between monsoon-driven cooling and potential brief clear spells allowing brief warming toward 30°C. Model consensus on precipitation probability remains moderate, with any reduction in cloudiness or delayed showers the key variables that could shift the outcome.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 4?
28°C 33%
29°C 32%
30°C 14%
27°C 12%
$11,960 Vol.
$11,960 Vol.
23°C or below
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
5%
27°C
12%
28°C
33%
29°C
32%
30°C
14%
31°C
5%
32°C
2%
33°C or higher
<1%
28°C 33%
29°C 32%
30°C 14%
27°C 12%
$11,960 Vol.
$11,960 Vol.
23°C or below
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
5%
27°C
12%
28°C
33%
29°C
32%
30°C
14%
31°C
5%
32°C
2%
33°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 2, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
রেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
রেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate September 4 highs between 25–29°C under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers, driven by lingering influences from tropical cyclone Sadul and the northeast monsoon enhancing wind and moisture. These conditions promote extensive cloud cover that limits solar heating and caps peak temperatures, while variable shower timing introduces uncertainty in the precise daily maximum. Market-implied odds clustering tightly around 28–29°C reflect trader assessment of this balance between monsoon-driven cooling and potential brief clear spells allowing brief warming toward 30°C. Model consensus on precipitation probability remains moderate, with any reduction in cloudiness or delayed showers the key variables that could shift the outcome.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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