Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory project a minimum temperature of 25–29°C for September 4 under generally cloudy skies with isolated showers, driven by the combined effects of a weakening tropical cyclone and the northeast monsoon, which sustain moderate winds and elevated humidity that limit nighttime radiative cooling. This aligns closely with climatological norms for early September, where average overnight lows hover near 25–26°C amid transitional monsoon conditions. Ensemble model guidance shows limited spread around these values, with cloud cover and light precipitation acting as the main variables that could nudge the actual minimum slightly lower. Market-implied odds reflect this consensus, with 25°C as the modal outcome while assigning modest probability to 24°C if showers intensify overnight.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 4?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 4?
25°C 54%
26°C 29%
24°C 12%
27°C 4.1%
নতুন
নতুন
Sep 4, 2026
20°C or below
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
4%
24°C
12%
25°C
54%
26°C
29%
27°C
4%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C or higher
<1%
25°C 54%
26°C 29%
24°C 12%
27°C 4.1%
নতুন
নতুন
Sep 4, 2026
20°C or below
$1,257 Vol.
1%
21°C
$84 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$265 Vol.
1%
23°C
$390 Vol.
4%
24°C
$493 Vol.
12%
25°C
$3,094 Vol.
54%
26°C
$731 Vol.
29%
27°C
$84 Vol.
4%
28°C
$165 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$566 Vol.
1%
30°C or higher
$12 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory project a minimum temperature of 25–29°C for September 4 under generally cloudy skies with isolated showers, driven by the combined effects of a weakening tropical cyclone and the northeast monsoon, which sustain moderate winds and elevated humidity that limit nighttime radiative cooling. This aligns closely with climatological norms for early September, where average overnight lows hover near 25–26°C amid transitional monsoon conditions. Ensemble model guidance shows limited spread around these values, with cloud cover and light precipitation acting as the main variables that could nudge the actual minimum slightly lower. Market-implied odds reflect this consensus, with 25°C as the modal outcome while assigning modest probability to 24°C if showers intensify overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
ভলিউম
$6,646শেষ তারিখ
Sep 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory project a minimum temperature of 25–29°C for September 4 under generally cloudy skies with isolated showers, driven by the combined effects of a weakening tropical cyclone and the northeast monsoon, which sustain moderate winds and elevated humidity that limit nighttime radiative cooling. This aligns closely with climatological norms for early September, where average overnight lows hover near 25–26°C amid transitional monsoon conditions. Ensemble model guidance shows limited spread around these values, with cloud cover and light precipitation acting as the main variables that could nudge the actual minimum slightly lower. Market-implied odds reflect this consensus, with 25°C as the modal outcome while assigning modest probability to 24°C if showers intensify overnight.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ভলিউম
$6,646শেষ তারিখ
Sep 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ETরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory project a minimum temperature of 25–29°C for September 4 under generally cloudy skies with isolated showers, driven by the combined effects of a weakening tropical cyclone and the northeast monsoon, which sustain moderate winds and elevated humidity that limit nighttime radiative cooling. This aligns closely with climatological norms for early September, where average overnight lows hover near 25–26°C amid transitional monsoon conditions. Ensemble model guidance shows limited spread around these values, with cloud cover and light precipitation acting as the main variables that could nudge the actual minimum slightly lower. Market-implied odds reflect this consensus, with 25°C as the modal outcome while assigning modest probability to 24°C if showers intensify overnight.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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