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icon for Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 3?

Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 3?

icon for Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 3?

Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 3?

30°C or higher 46%

25°C 35%

24°C 21%

26°C 21%

Polymarket
নতুন

30°C or higher 46%

25°C 35%

24°C 21%

26°C 21%

Polymarket
নতুন

20°C or below

$5 Vol.

8%

21°C

$5 Vol.

14%

22°C

$20 Vol.

10%

23°C

$0 Vol.

11%

24°C

$0 Vol.

21%

25°C

$0 Vol.

35%

26°C

$0 Vol.

21%

27°C

$0 Vol.

11%

28°C

$5 Vol.

19%

29°C

$5 Vol.

2%

30°C or higher

$7 Vol.

46%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models indicate a minimum temperature near 25°C on September 3, 2026, consistent with the market's leading 35% implied probability. A nearby tropical cyclone (Sadel) combined with northeast monsoon flow is driving increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and northwest winds of 4–5 on the Beaufort scale, which limit daytime heating while supporting overnight radiative cooling toward seasonal norms. Historical 1991–2020 climatology shows an average minimum of 24.7°C for early September, with recent model consensus across sources pointing to 25–26°C lows amid 30–40% rain chances. Shifts in cyclone track or monsoon strength could alter the temperature range before resolution, with updated HKO guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ভলিউম
$47
শেষ তারিখ
Sep 3, 2026
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ET

রেজলভার

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models indicate a minimum temperature near 25°C on September 3, 2026, consistent with the market's leading 35% implied probability. A nearby tropical cyclone (Sadel) combined with northeast monsoon flow is driving increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and northwest winds of 4–5 on the Beaufort scale, which limit daytime heating while supporting overnight radiative cooling toward seasonal norms. Historical 1991–2020 climatology shows an average minimum of 24.7°C for early September, with recent model consensus across sources pointing to 25–26°C lows amid 30–40% rain chances. Shifts in cyclone track or monsoon strength could alter the temperature range before resolution, with updated HKO guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ভলিউম
$47
শেষ তারিখ
Sep 3, 2026
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 1, 2026, 12:29 AM ET

রেজলভার

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।

সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা

"Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 3?" হলো Polymarket-এ 11 সম্ভাব্য ফলাফলসহ একটি প্রেডিকশন মার্কেট যেখানে ট্রেডাররা কী ঘটবে বলে বিশ্বাস করে তার ভিত্তিতে শেয়ার কেনাবেচা করে। বর্তমান শীর্ষ ফলাফল "25°C" 35%-এ, তারপর "30°C or higher" 23%-এ। দাম রিয়েল-টাইম ক্রাউড-সোর্সড সম্ভাবনা প্রতিফলিত করে। মার্কেট রেজোলিউশনে সঠিক ফলাফলের শেয়ার প্রতিটি $1-এ রিডিমযোগ্য।

"Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 3?" Polymarket-এ একটি নতুন তৈরি মার্কেট, Sep 1, 2026-এ লঞ্চ হয়েছে। একটি নতুন মার্কেট হিসেবে, এটি প্রথম ট্রেডারদের মধ্যে একজন হয়ে অডস সেট করার ও মার্কেটের প্রাথমিক মূল্য সংকেত প্রতিষ্ঠা করার সুযোগ। সময়ের সাথে মার্কেট গতি পেলে ভলিউম ও ট্রেডিং অ্যাক্টিভিটি ট্র্যাক করতে এই পেজ বুকমার্ক করতে পারেন।

"Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 3?"-এ ট্রেড করতে, এই পেজে তালিকাভুক্ত 11 উপলব্ধ ফলাফল ব্রাউজ করুন। প্রতিটি ফলাফল মার্কেটের ইম্প্লায়েড প্রবাবিলিটি প্রতিনিধিত্ব করে একটি বর্তমান দাম দেখায়। পজিশন নিতে, আপনি যে ফলাফলকে সবচেয়ে সম্ভাবনাময় মনে করেন সেটি নির্বাচন করুন, এর পক্ষে "Yes" বা বিপক্ষে "No" বেছে নিন, আপনার পরিমাণ লিখুন এবং "Trade" ক্লিক করুন। মার্কেট রেজলভ হলে আপনার নির্বাচিত ফলাফল সঠিক হলে, আপনার "Yes" শেয়ার প্রতিটি $1 দেয়। ভুল হলে, $0 দেয়।

"Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 3?"-এর বর্তমান ফ্রন্টরানার "25°C" 35%-এ, মানে মার্কেট সেই ফলাফলে 35% সম্ভাবনা নির্ধারণ করে। পরবর্তী নিকটতম ফলাফল "30°C or higher" 23%-এ। এই অডস রিয়েল-টাইমে আপডেট হয়।

"Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 3?"-এর রেজোলিউশন নিয়ম সঠিকভাবে সংজ্ঞায়িত করে প্রতিটি ফলাফলকে বিজয়ী ঘোষণা করতে কী ঘটতে হবে — ফলাফল নির্ধারণে ব্যবহৃত অফিসিয়াল ডেটা সোর্স সহ। আপনি এই পেজের মন্তব্যের উপরে "Rules" সেকশনে সম্পূর্ণ রেজোলিউশন মানদণ্ড রিভিউ করতে পারেন।