Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements recorded an overnight low of 25.9 °C early on September 2 before temperatures climbed above 30 °C under partly cloudy skies with northwesterly winds. This places the daily minimum squarely at the 25 °C threshold that dominates the market at 99.8 % implied probability. Typical early-September climatology for the region features minimums near 25–26 °C, and no significant tropical cyclone or cold surge altered the pattern that day. The overwhelming trader consensus reflects real-time access to verified station data rather than models. A post-event data revision or resolution based on an alternate station could theoretically shift the outcome, though such adjustments remain rare for HKO records.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Hong Kong on September 2?
25°C 99.8%
24°C <1%
23°C <1%
21°C or below <1%
$20,130 Vol.
$20,130 Vol.
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
100%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
25°C 99.8%
24°C <1%
23°C <1%
21°C or below <1%
$20,130 Vol.
$20,130 Vol.
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
100%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
রেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
রেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements recorded an overnight low of 25.9 °C early on September 2 before temperatures climbed above 30 °C under partly cloudy skies with northwesterly winds. This places the daily minimum squarely at the 25 °C threshold that dominates the market at 99.8 % implied probability. Typical early-September climatology for the region features minimums near 25–26 °C, and no significant tropical cyclone or cold surge altered the pattern that day. The overwhelming trader consensus reflects real-time access to verified station data rather than models. A post-event data revision or resolution based on an alternate station could theoretically shift the outcome, though such adjustments remain rare for HKO records.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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