Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a minimum temperature in the upper 50s for San Francisco on September 4, driven by persistent onshore flow and a strong marine layer that has kept daytime highs in the mid-60s and overnight lows suppressed after an unusually early September storm system delivered light rain and clouds. This pattern aligns with the market-implied 58-59°F outcome at 44% and the 54-55°F bucket at 31.5%, reflecting typical early-fall climatology where average lows hover near 56°F but cool advection and high humidity limit radiative cooling. Traders appear to assign modest probability to colder outcomes below 50°F given the storm's lingering effects, while warmer readings above 62°F remain less favored amid below-normal temperatures expected to persist through the resolution window. Updated model runs and any late-day clearing will be key variables to watch.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in San Francisco on September 4?
Lowest temperature in San Francisco on September 4?
47°F or below 49%
52-53°F 46%
58-59°F 44%
66°F or higher 42%
নতুন
নতুন
Sep 4, 2026
47°F or below
49%
48-49°F
29%
50-51°F
19%
52-53°F
46%
54-55°F
31%
56-57°F
22%
58-59°F
44%
60-61°F
40%
62-63°F
12%
64-65°F
20%
66°F or higher
42%
47°F or below 49%
52-53°F 46%
58-59°F 44%
66°F or higher 42%
নতুন
নতুন
Sep 4, 2026
47°F or below
$0 Vol.
49%
48-49°F
$0 Vol.
29%
50-51°F
$0 Vol.
19%
52-53°F
$0 Vol.
46%
54-55°F
$0 Vol.
31%
56-57°F
$13 Vol.
22%
58-59°F
$0 Vol.
44%
60-61°F
$0 Vol.
40%
62-63°F
$0 Vol.
12%
64-65°F
$0 Vol.
20%
66°F or higher
$0 Vol.
42%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a minimum temperature in the upper 50s for San Francisco on September 4, driven by persistent onshore flow and a strong marine layer that has kept daytime highs in the mid-60s and overnight lows suppressed after an unusually early September storm system delivered light rain and clouds. This pattern aligns with the market-implied 58-59°F outcome at 44% and the 54-55°F bucket at 31.5%, reflecting typical early-fall climatology where average lows hover near 56°F but cool advection and high humidity limit radiative cooling. Traders appear to assign modest probability to colder outcomes below 50°F given the storm's lingering effects, while warmer readings above 62°F remain less favored amid below-normal temperatures expected to persist through the resolution window. Updated model runs and any late-day clearing will be key variables to watch.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 2, 2026, 7:29 AM ET
ভলিউম
$13শেষ তারিখ
Sep 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 2, 2026, 7:29 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a minimum temperature in the upper 50s for San Francisco on September 4, driven by persistent onshore flow and a strong marine layer that has kept daytime highs in the mid-60s and overnight lows suppressed after an unusually early September storm system delivered light rain and clouds. This pattern aligns with the market-implied 58-59°F outcome at 44% and the 54-55°F bucket at 31.5%, reflecting typical early-fall climatology where average lows hover near 56°F but cool advection and high humidity limit radiative cooling. Traders appear to assign modest probability to colder outcomes below 50°F given the storm's lingering effects, while warmer readings above 62°F remain less favored amid below-normal temperatures expected to persist through the resolution window. Updated model runs and any late-day clearing will be key variables to watch.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfo
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$13শেষ তারিখ
Sep 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 2, 2026, 7:29 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ksfoরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and model guidance point to a minimum temperature in the upper 50s for San Francisco on September 4, driven by persistent onshore flow and a strong marine layer that has kept daytime highs in the mid-60s and overnight lows suppressed after an unusually early September storm system delivered light rain and clouds. This pattern aligns with the market-implied 58-59°F outcome at 44% and the 54-55°F bucket at 31.5%, reflecting typical early-fall climatology where average lows hover near 56°F but cool advection and high humidity limit radiative cooling. Traders appear to assign modest probability to colder outcomes below 50°F given the storm's lingering effects, while warmer readings above 62°F remain less favored amid below-normal temperatures expected to persist through the resolution window. Updated model runs and any late-day clearing will be key variables to watch.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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