OpenAI’s Codex team is running a 28-day “ship an improvement or deliver a full reset” series that began in early October, directly shaping usage-limit resets for paid Codex and ChatGPT Work accounts. Tibo Sottiaux’s announcements have produced resets on October 13 (Day 8), 15 (Day 10), and 17 (Day 13) within the October 12–18 window, establishing a consistent cadence that aligns with the market’s strong consensus around exactly three resets. Traders view the pattern as stable because each reset follows explicit public commitments with rapid confirmation, while the low odds on four or more reflect the series’ built-in alternation and the absence of additional milestone-driven grants. Upcoming daily updates through early November remain the key near-term catalyst that could alter the count.