Recent polling averages for Israel's October 27, 2026, Knesset election place United Torah Judaism (UTJ) at 7–8 seats, aligning with the market's strong consensus on that range. As an Ashkenazi Haredi party, UTJ draws consistent support from its core electorate despite broader coalition tensions over military draft exemptions for yeshiva students. Multiple September surveys, including those from Channel 12, Channel 13, and Kantar, project UTJ near or at 8 seats, with occasional readings at 7 or 9 amid stable turnout patterns. Leadership transitions within its Degel HaTorah and Agudat Yisrael factions have not materially shifted these figures. Traders appear to price in this historical and current polling stability, viewing deviations as lower-probability outcomes absent major last-minute shifts in Haredi voter mobilization or threshold dynamics.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড7-8 84%
9-10 14%
11+ 4.0%
<7 2.9%
<7
3%
7-8
84%
9-10
14%
11+
4%
7-8 84%
9-10 14%
11+ 4.0%
<7 2.9%
<7
3%
7-8
84%
9-10
14%
11+
4%
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Torah Judaism contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Torah Judaism merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
রেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If United Torah Judaism contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If United Torah Judaism merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by United Torah Judaism in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
রেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages for Israel's October 27, 2026, Knesset election place United Torah Judaism (UTJ) at 7–8 seats, aligning with the market's strong consensus on that range. As an Ashkenazi Haredi party, UTJ draws consistent support from its core electorate despite broader coalition tensions over military draft exemptions for yeshiva students. Multiple September surveys, including those from Channel 12, Channel 13, and Kantar, project UTJ near or at 8 seats, with occasional readings at 7 or 9 amid stable turnout patterns. Leadership transitions within its Degel HaTorah and Agudat Yisrael factions have not materially shifted these figures. Traders appear to price in this historical and current polling stability, viewing deviations as lower-probability outcomes absent major last-minute shifts in Haredi voter mobilization or threshold dynamics.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড



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