South Korean President Lee Jae-myung assumed office in June 2025 following a snap election, after which courts indefinitely suspended all five pre-existing criminal trials involving election-law violations, corruption allegations from his time as Seongnam mayor and Gyeonggi governor, and related charges. No new indictments, legislative overrides of presidential protections, or prosecutorial moves targeting detention have advanced through mid-2026. This institutional pause, combined with the absence of recent escalatory actions from opposition parties or authorities, underpins the trader consensus reflected in the 92.6% “No” probability on arrest before 2027. Resolution would require impeachment, a successful constitutional challenge, or extraordinary new developments within the remaining term.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?
7% সম্ভাবনা
$529,276 Vol.
$529,276 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
7% সম্ভাবনা
$529,276 Vol.
$529,276 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.South Korean President Lee Jae-myung assumed office in June 2025 following a snap election, after which courts indefinitely suspended all five pre-existing criminal trials involving election-law violations, corruption allegations from his time as Seongnam mayor and Gyeonggi governor, and related charges. No new indictments, legislative overrides of presidential protections, or prosecutorial moves targeting detention have advanced through mid-2026. This institutional pause, combined with the absence of recent escalatory actions from opposition parties or authorities, underpins the trader consensus reflected in the 92.6% “No” probability on arrest before 2027. Resolution would require impeachment, a successful constitutional challenge, or extraordinary new developments within the remaining term.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Nov 5, 2025, 12:46 PM ET
ভলিউম
$529,276শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Nov 5, 2025, 12:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.South Korean President Lee Jae-myung assumed office in June 2025 following a snap election, after which courts indefinitely suspended all five pre-existing criminal trials involving election-law violations, corruption allegations from his time as Seongnam mayor and Gyeonggi governor, and related charges. No new indictments, legislative overrides of presidential protections, or prosecutorial moves targeting detention have advanced through mid-2026. This institutional pause, combined with the absence of recent escalatory actions from opposition parties or authorities, underpins the trader consensus reflected in the 92.6% “No” probability on arrest before 2027. Resolution would require impeachment, a successful constitutional challenge, or extraordinary new developments within the remaining term.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ভলিউম
$529,276শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Nov 5, 2025, 12:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...South Korean President Lee Jae-myung assumed office in June 2025 following a snap election, after which courts indefinitely suspended all five pre-existing criminal trials involving election-law violations, corruption allegations from his time as Seongnam mayor and Gyeonggi governor, and related charges. No new indictments, legislative overrides of presidential protections, or prosecutorial moves targeting detention have advanced through mid-2026. This institutional pause, combined with the absence of recent escalatory actions from opposition parties or authorities, underpins the trader consensus reflected in the 92.6% “No” probability on arrest before 2027. Resolution would require impeachment, a successful constitutional challenge, or extraordinary new developments within the remaining term.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
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