South Korea's former president Yoon Suk-yeol received a life sentence in February 2026 for leading an insurrection tied to his December 2024 martial law declaration, with an appeals court adding seven years in April for resisting arrest. He has remained in Seoul Detention Center since his latest detention warrant extension in January, facing eight separate criminal proceedings. These outcomes, combined with South Korea's record of lengthy sentences for former leaders in similar cases, underpin traders' 84% implied probability that Yoon will not leave custody before 2027. Appeals and additional verdicts could extend proceedings further, with no scheduled events or legal pathways indicating near-term release.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডYoon out of custody before 2027?
$11,298 Vol.
$11,298 Vol.
$11,298 Vol.
$11,298 Vol.
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...South Korea's former president Yoon Suk-yeol received a life sentence in February 2026 for leading an insurrection tied to his December 2024 martial law declaration, with an appeals court adding seven years in April for resisting arrest. He has remained in Seoul Detention Center since his latest detention warrant extension in January, facing eight separate criminal proceedings. These outcomes, combined with South Korea's record of lengthy sentences for former leaders in similar cases, underpin traders' 84% implied probability that Yoon will not leave custody before 2027. Appeals and additional verdicts could extend proceedings further, with no scheduled events or legal pathways indicating near-term release.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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