South Korea's former President Yoon Suk-yeol remains in detention at the Seoul Detention Centre following his February 2026 conviction and life sentence for leading an insurrection tied to the December 2024 martial law declaration. Appeals to higher courts, including the Supreme Court, are underway but have not altered his custodial status, while separate proceedings have produced additional multi-year terms, including a 30-year sentence in June 2026 related to drone operations. These confirmed judicial outcomes, combined with the standard multi-year timeline for full appellate resolution in major political cases, underpin trader consensus reflected in the 94.6% probability against release before 2027. No intervening pardons, procedural reversals, or health-related developments have shifted the outlook in recent months.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডYoon out of custody before 2027?
Yoon out of custody before 2027?
5% সম্ভাবনা
$183,974 Vol.
$183,974 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
5% সম্ভাবনা
$183,974 Vol.
$183,974 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.South Korea's former President Yoon Suk-yeol remains in detention at the Seoul Detention Centre following his February 2026 conviction and life sentence for leading an insurrection tied to the December 2024 martial law declaration. Appeals to higher courts, including the Supreme Court, are underway but have not altered his custodial status, while separate proceedings have produced additional multi-year terms, including a 30-year sentence in June 2026 related to drone operations. These confirmed judicial outcomes, combined with the standard multi-year timeline for full appellate resolution in major political cases, underpin trader consensus reflected in the 94.6% probability against release before 2027. No intervening pardons, procedural reversals, or health-related developments have shifted the outlook in recent months.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ET
ভলিউম
$183,974শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.South Korea's former President Yoon Suk-yeol remains in detention at the Seoul Detention Centre following his February 2026 conviction and life sentence for leading an insurrection tied to the December 2024 martial law declaration. Appeals to higher courts, including the Supreme Court, are underway but have not altered his custodial status, while separate proceedings have produced additional multi-year terms, including a 30-year sentence in June 2026 related to drone operations. These confirmed judicial outcomes, combined with the standard multi-year timeline for full appellate resolution in major political cases, underpin trader consensus reflected in the 94.6% probability against release before 2027. No intervening pardons, procedural reversals, or health-related developments have shifted the outlook in recent months.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ভলিউম
$183,974শেষ তারিখ
Dec 31, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...South Korea's former President Yoon Suk-yeol remains in detention at the Seoul Detention Centre following his February 2026 conviction and life sentence for leading an insurrection tied to the December 2024 martial law declaration. Appeals to higher courts, including the Supreme Court, are underway but have not altered his custodial status, while separate proceedings have produced additional multi-year terms, including a 30-year sentence in June 2026 related to drone operations. These confirmed judicial outcomes, combined with the standard multi-year timeline for full appellate resolution in major political cases, underpin trader consensus reflected in the 94.6% probability against release before 2027. No intervening pardons, procedural reversals, or health-related developments have shifted the outlook in recent months.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা