Trader consensus heavily favors no Chinese invasion of Taiwan by year-end, reflecting sustained cross-strait gray-zone coercion like recent China Coast Guard incursions near Kinmen islands but no signs of amphibious assault preparations amid high economic and military costs for Beijing. U.S. intelligence's March assessment that China lacks readiness for a 2027 operation, coupled with Taiwan's May 8 approval of $25 billion in U.S. arms purchases and ongoing military aid packages, bolsters deterrence. President Xi Jinping's April meeting with Taiwan opposition leader Cheng Li-wun prompted resumed direct flights and trade incentives, signaling diplomatic overtures over escalation, while yesterday's Trump-Xi summit reiterated Taiwan warnings without breakthroughs. Upcoming U.S.-Taiwan defense talks could further stabilize odds.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডচীন কি ২০২৬ সালের মধ্যে তাইওয়ান আক্রমণ করবে?
চীন কি ২০২৬ সালের মধ্যে তাইওয়ান আক্রমণ করবে?
হ্যাঁ
$23,356,221 Vol.
$23,356,221 Vol.
হ্যাঁ
$23,356,221 Vol.
$23,356,221 Vol.
Territory under the administration of the Republic of China including any inhabited islands will qualify, however uninhabited islands will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Jul 24, 2025, 7:37 PM ET
রেজলভার
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Territory under the administration of the Republic of China including any inhabited islands will qualify, however uninhabited islands will not qualify.
The resolution source for this market will be will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
রেজলভার
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Trader consensus heavily favors no Chinese invasion of Taiwan by year-end, reflecting sustained cross-strait gray-zone coercion like recent China Coast Guard incursions near Kinmen islands but no signs of amphibious assault preparations amid high economic and military costs for Beijing. U.S. intelligence's March assessment that China lacks readiness for a 2027 operation, coupled with Taiwan's May 8 approval of $25 billion in U.S. arms purchases and ongoing military aid packages, bolsters deterrence. President Xi Jinping's April meeting with Taiwan opposition leader Cheng Li-wun prompted resumed direct flights and trade incentives, signaling diplomatic overtures over escalation, while yesterday's Trump-Xi summit reiterated Taiwan warnings without breakthroughs. Upcoming U.S.-Taiwan defense talks could further stabilize odds.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা