Current ensemble forecasts from global and regional models, including consistent output from sources like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international providers, project overnight lows of 15–17°C in Ankara on September 1 under clear skies and light northeasterly winds. This places the expected daily minimum well above 10°C amid stable late-summer high pressure. The market’s elevated implied probability for 10°C or below (47%) alongside clustered odds near 11–14°C reflects traders’ weighting of inherent forecast uncertainty ranges, potential local microclimate effects, and the short time window before resolution, even as the consensus baseline favors milder conditions. Updated model runs in the next 48 hours will provide the key data shift for positioning.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Ankara on September 1?
20°C or higher 42%
10°C or below 30%
13°C 27%
14°C 27%
10°C or below
30%
11°C
25%
12°C
26%
13°C
27%
14°C
27%
15°C
25%
16°C
25%
17°C
25%
18°C
2%
19°C
17%
20°C or higher
42%
20°C or higher 42%
10°C or below 30%
13°C 27%
14°C 27%
10°C or below
30%
11°C
25%
12°C
26%
13°C
27%
14°C
27%
15°C
25%
16°C
25%
17°C
25%
18°C
2%
19°C
17%
20°C or higher
42%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 30, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from global and regional models, including consistent output from sources like the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international providers, project overnight lows of 15–17°C in Ankara on September 1 under clear skies and light northeasterly winds. This places the expected daily minimum well above 10°C amid stable late-summer high pressure. The market’s elevated implied probability for 10°C or below (47%) alongside clustered odds near 11–14°C reflects traders’ weighting of inherent forecast uncertainty ranges, potential local microclimate effects, and the short time window before resolution, even as the consensus baseline favors milder conditions. Updated model runs in the next 48 hours will provide the key data shift for positioning.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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