Current forecast models from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles project Beijing's overnight low on September 4 near 21–22°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions with light variable winds and minimal cloud cover limiting radiative cooling. This setup, following a warm high-pressure ridge, aligns with the tight market clustering at 18–19°C implied probabilities as traders balance typical model warm bias against urban heat island effects and potential for slightly stronger nocturnal cooling at the official observation site. Historical September averages near 15°C provide context, yet persistent late-summer warmth and stable steering patterns reduce downside risk below 17°C while capping upside above 22°C absent unexpected frontal passage. Updated model runs and evening observations will refine the precise minimum.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Beijing on September 4?
Lowest temperature in Beijing on September 4?
14°C 89%
15°C 89%
16°C 89%
17°C 89%
নতুন
নতুন
Sep 4, 2026
13°C or below
22%
14°C
89%
15°C
89%
16°C
89%
17°C
89%
18°C
50%
19°C
49%
20°C
89%
21°C
89%
22°C
89%
23°C or higher
33%
14°C 89%
15°C 89%
16°C 89%
17°C 89%
নতুন
নতুন
Sep 4, 2026
13°C or below
$149 Vol.
22%
14°C
$0 Vol.
89%
15°C
$0 Vol.
89%
16°C
$0 Vol.
89%
17°C
$0 Vol.
89%
18°C
$0 Vol.
50%
19°C
$0 Vol.
49%
20°C
$0 Vol.
89%
21°C
$0 Vol.
89%
22°C
$0 Vol.
89%
23°C or higher
$201 Vol.
33%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles project Beijing's overnight low on September 4 near 21–22°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions with light variable winds and minimal cloud cover limiting radiative cooling. This setup, following a warm high-pressure ridge, aligns with the tight market clustering at 18–19°C implied probabilities as traders balance typical model warm bias against urban heat island effects and potential for slightly stronger nocturnal cooling at the official observation site. Historical September averages near 15°C provide context, yet persistent late-summer warmth and stable steering patterns reduce downside risk below 17°C while capping upside above 22°C absent unexpected frontal passage. Updated model runs and evening observations will refine the precise minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ভলিউম
$350শেষ তারিখ
Sep 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles project Beijing's overnight low on September 4 near 21–22°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions with light variable winds and minimal cloud cover limiting radiative cooling. This setup, following a warm high-pressure ridge, aligns with the tight market clustering at 18–19°C implied probabilities as traders balance typical model warm bias against urban heat island effects and potential for slightly stronger nocturnal cooling at the official observation site. Historical September averages near 15°C provide context, yet persistent late-summer warmth and stable steering patterns reduce downside risk below 17°C while capping upside above 22°C absent unexpected frontal passage. Updated model runs and evening observations will refine the precise minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$350শেষ তারিখ
Sep 4, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 2, 2026, 12:30 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources like the China Meteorological Administration and international ensembles project Beijing's overnight low on September 4 near 21–22°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions with light variable winds and minimal cloud cover limiting radiative cooling. This setup, following a warm high-pressure ridge, aligns with the tight market clustering at 18–19°C implied probabilities as traders balance typical model warm bias against urban heat island effects and potential for slightly stronger nocturnal cooling at the official observation site. Historical September averages near 15°C provide context, yet persistent late-summer warmth and stable steering patterns reduce downside risk below 17°C while capping upside above 22°C absent unexpected frontal passage. Updated model runs and evening observations will refine the precise minimum.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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