Current ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and European models indicate a nighttime minimum near 14–15°C for London on August 20, driven by expected clear to partly cloudy skies and light to moderate winds that permit moderate radiative cooling without extreme drops. This aligns with the market-implied probabilities favoring 15°C and 16°C, as traders weigh model consensus against typical late-summer variability in the North Atlantic air mass. Recent observational trends show no strong cold advection, keeping probabilities for sub-14°C outcomes low. Updated short-range model runs over the next 48 hours will refine cloud cover and wind details ahead of resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in London on August 20?
15°C 47%
16°C 32%
14°C 16%
12°C 7%
10°C or below
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
7%
13°C
5%
14°C
16%
15°C
47%
16°C
32%
17°C
5%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
15°C 47%
16°C 32%
14°C 16%
12°C 7%
10°C or below
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
7%
13°C
5%
14°C
16%
15°C
47%
16°C
32%
17°C
5%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Aug 18, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and European models indicate a nighttime minimum near 14–15°C for London on August 20, driven by expected clear to partly cloudy skies and light to moderate winds that permit moderate radiative cooling without extreme drops. This aligns with the market-implied probabilities favoring 15°C and 16°C, as traders weigh model consensus against typical late-summer variability in the North Atlantic air mass. Recent observational trends show no strong cold advection, keeping probabilities for sub-14°C outcomes low. Updated short-range model runs over the next 48 hours will refine cloud cover and wind details ahead of resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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