**Mild Atlantic airflow and persistent cloud cover are anchoring the minimum temperature in London on September 14 near 17–18 °C, which explains the heavy market weighting on those outcomes.** Official Met Office guidance and multiple model runs (GFS-based) indicate overnight lows of 17–18 °C under mostly overcast to partly cloudy skies with light southwesterly winds, limiting radiative cooling. Recent surface observations show dew points holding in the mid-teens Celsius, consistent with above-average September norms and the absence of any incoming colder air mass. Forecasts from the Met Office, BBC-linked sources, and ensemble guidance converge on a minimum no lower than 16–17 °C and unlikely to reach 19 °C or higher, supporting the current implied probabilities (18 °C at 54.5 %, 19 °C at 36 %). Updated model runs overnight on September 13 showed only minor adjustments, leaving little room for significant downside surprises before the daily minimum is recorded.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in London on September 14?
18°C 55%
19°C 36%
17°C 8%
16°C 5%
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
2%
16°C
5%
17°C
8%
18°C
55%
19°C
36%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
18°C 55%
19°C 36%
17°C 8%
16°C 5%
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
2%
16°C
5%
17°C
8%
18°C
55%
19°C
36%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 12, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...**Mild Atlantic airflow and persistent cloud cover are anchoring the minimum temperature in London on September 14 near 17–18 °C, which explains the heavy market weighting on those outcomes.** Official Met Office guidance and multiple model runs (GFS-based) indicate overnight lows of 17–18 °C under mostly overcast to partly cloudy skies with light southwesterly winds, limiting radiative cooling. Recent surface observations show dew points holding in the mid-teens Celsius, consistent with above-average September norms and the absence of any incoming colder air mass. Forecasts from the Met Office, BBC-linked sources, and ensemble guidance converge on a minimum no lower than 16–17 °C and unlikely to reach 19 °C or higher, supporting the current implied probabilities (18 °C at 54.5 %, 19 °C at 36 %). Updated model runs overnight on September 13 showed only minor adjustments, leaving little room for significant downside surprises before the daily minimum is recorded.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা