Recent forecast model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to radiative cooling under clear skies and light southerly winds as the main driver pushing trader consensus toward a 15°C minimum in Qingdao on September 15. Stable high-pressure conditions and low humidity have limited overnight cloud cover, allowing temperatures to drop steadily from daytime highs near 26–28°C, aligning with historical September coastal patterns where minima often settle in the mid-teens under similar setups. Official guidance shows limited model spread, supporting the dominant market-implied odds on 15°C while assigning only modest probability to 14°C or below. A shift in steering patterns or unexpected marine layer development could still lift the low above this threshold before resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Qingdao on September 15?
15°C 95%
14°C or below 91%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
14°C or below
91%
15°C
95%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
15°C 95%
14°C or below 91%
16°C <1%
17°C <1%
14°C or below
91%
15°C
95%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 13, 2026, 1:32 PM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model consensus from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration points to radiative cooling under clear skies and light southerly winds as the main driver pushing trader consensus toward a 15°C minimum in Qingdao on September 15. Stable high-pressure conditions and low humidity have limited overnight cloud cover, allowing temperatures to drop steadily from daytime highs near 26–28°C, aligning with historical September coastal patterns where minima often settle in the mid-teens under similar setups. Official guidance shows limited model spread, supporting the dominant market-implied odds on 15°C while assigning only modest probability to 14°C or below. A shift in steering patterns or unexpected marine layer development could still lift the low above this threshold before resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
সচরাচর জিজ্ঞাসা