**Forecast models from sources including GFS and AEMET-aligned guidance project minimum temperatures of 15–17°C (59–63°F) for Madrid on September 22 under clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and radiative cooling overnight.** This consensus, combined with the absence of significant cold-air advection or frontal passages in the next 48 hours, underpins the market’s 53% implied probability for 14°C or below as the leading outcome. Persistent high pressure and recent basin warmth limit extreme cooling, aligning with the 14.5°C historical average low, while model spreads allow for modest downside risk that traders have priced in. No major forecast revisions have emerged in the past day to shift these odds.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Madrid on September 22?
Lowest temperature in Madrid on September 22?
14°C or below 59%
15°C 39%
16°C 39%
17°C 18%
নতুন
নতুন
Sep 22, 2026
14°C or below
59%
15°C
39%
16°C
39%
17°C
18%
18°C
11%
19°C
6%
20°C
2%
21°C
2%
22°C
3%
23°C
3%
24°C or higher
3%
14°C or below 59%
15°C 39%
16°C 39%
17°C 18%
নতুন
নতুন
Sep 22, 2026
14°C or below
$11 Vol.
59%
15°C
$0 Vol.
39%
16°C
$0 Vol.
39%
17°C
$0 Vol.
18%
18°C
$0 Vol.
11%
19°C
$0 Vol.
6%
20°C
$0 Vol.
2%
21°C
$0 Vol.
2%
22°C
$0 Vol.
3%
23°C
$0 Vol.
3%
24°C or higher
$0 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources including GFS and AEMET-aligned guidance project minimum temperatures of 15–17°C (59–63°F) for Madrid on September 22 under clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and radiative cooling overnight.** This consensus, combined with the absence of significant cold-air advection or frontal passages in the next 48 hours, underpins the market’s 53% implied probability for 14°C or below as the leading outcome. Persistent high pressure and recent basin warmth limit extreme cooling, aligning with the 14.5°C historical average low, while model spreads allow for modest downside risk that traders have priced in. No major forecast revisions have emerged in the past day to shift these odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 20, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ভলিউম
$11শেষ তারিখ
Sep 22, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 20, 2026, 12:30 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources including GFS and AEMET-aligned guidance project minimum temperatures of 15–17°C (59–63°F) for Madrid on September 22 under clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and radiative cooling overnight.** This consensus, combined with the absence of significant cold-air advection or frontal passages in the next 48 hours, underpins the market’s 53% implied probability for 14°C or below as the leading outcome. Persistent high pressure and recent basin warmth limit extreme cooling, aligning with the 14.5°C historical average low, while model spreads allow for modest downside risk that traders have priced in. No major forecast revisions have emerged in the past day to shift these odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ভলিউম
$11শেষ তারিখ
Sep 22, 2026মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে
Sep 20, 2026, 12:30 AM ETরেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from sources including GFS and AEMET-aligned guidance project minimum temperatures of 15–17°C (59–63°F) for Madrid on September 22 under clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and radiative cooling overnight.** This consensus, combined with the absence of significant cold-air advection or frontal passages in the next 48 hours, underpins the market’s 53% implied probability for 14°C or below as the leading outcome. Persistent high pressure and recent basin warmth limit extreme cooling, aligning with the 14.5°C historical average low, while model spreads allow for modest downside risk that traders have priced in. No major forecast revisions have emerged in the past day to shift these odds.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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