Forecast consensus from models like GFS points to a daily minimum temperature in Madrid on September 3 near 19–21°C under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light northeasterly winds that limit mixing while permitting modest nocturnal radiative cooling. Dry air with dew points near 10–11°C enhances surface heat loss after the preceding day's highs exceeding 36°C, yet the warm air mass and urban heat island effects constrain the drop. Minor model spreads in boundary-layer winds and residual cloud cover create the tight clustering of market-implied odds around these values, with lower outcomes requiring stronger cooling than current guidance supports and higher ones needing unexpected warm advection. Updated runs from agencies like AEMET or ECMWF in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the exact minimum ahead of resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেডLowest temperature in Madrid on September 3?
25°C 90%
22°C 83%
26°C 82%
23°C 80%
18°C or below
29%
19°C
44%
20°C
43%
21°C
43%
22°C
83%
23°C
80%
24°C
2%
25°C
90%
26°C
82%
27°C
7%
28°C or higher
42%
25°C 90%
22°C 83%
26°C 82%
23°C 80%
18°C or below
29%
19°C
44%
20°C
43%
21°C
43%
22°C
83%
23°C
80%
24°C
2%
25°C
90%
26°C
82%
27°C
7%
28°C or higher
42%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
মার্কেট ওপেন হয়েছে: Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
রেজোলিউশন সোর্স
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdরেজলভার
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from models like GFS points to a daily minimum temperature in Madrid on September 3 near 19–21°C under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light northeasterly winds that limit mixing while permitting modest nocturnal radiative cooling. Dry air with dew points near 10–11°C enhances surface heat loss after the preceding day's highs exceeding 36°C, yet the warm air mass and urban heat island effects constrain the drop. Minor model spreads in boundary-layer winds and residual cloud cover create the tight clustering of market-implied odds around these values, with lower outcomes requiring stronger cooling than current guidance supports and higher ones needing unexpected warm advection. Updated runs from agencies like AEMET or ECMWF in the next 24–48 hours will likely refine the exact minimum ahead of resolution.
Polymarket ডেটা রেফারেন্স করে পরীক্ষামূলক AI-জেনারেটেড সারাংশ। এটি ট্রেডিং পরামর্শ নয় এবং এই মার্কেট কীভাবে রেজলভ হয় তাতে কোনো ভূমিকা রাখে না। · আপডেটেড
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
বাহ্যিক লিংক থেকে সাবধান।
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